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I always remind myself that what one observes is at best a combination of variance and returns, not just returns.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Age: 64
Born: 1960
Born: September 11
Author
Economist
Essayist
Mathematician
Philosopher
Statistician
University Teacher
Writer
Nassim Nicholas Najib Taleb
Nassim Taleb
Observes
Variance
Returns
Remind
Combination
Return
Best
Always
More quotes by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
The more data we have, the more likely we are to drown in it.
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The fragile wants tranquility, the antifragile grows from disorder, and the robust doesn't care too much.
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Maximum of an average is necessarily less volatile than the average maximum
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The best test of whether someone is extremely stupid (or extremely wise) is whether financial and political news makes sense to him.
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What is nonmeasurable and nonpredictable will remain nonmeasurable and nonpredictable ... no matter how much hate mail I get.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
The psychologist Gerd Gigerenzer has a simple heuristic. Never ask the doctor what you should do. Ask him what he would do if he were in your place. You would be surprised at the difference
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Your reputation is harmed the most by what you say to defend it.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Missing a train is only painful if you run after it! Likewise, not matching the idea of success others expect from you is only painful if that’s what you are seeking.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Never ask a trader if he is profitable: you can easily see it in his gesture and gait.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Don't ask the barber whether you need a haircut, and don't ask an academic if what he does is relevant.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Charm is the ability to insult people without offending them nerdiness the reverse
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They are born, put in a box they go home to live in a box they study by ticking boxes they go to what is called work in a box, where they sit in their cubicle box they drive to the grocery store in a box to buy food in a box they talk about thinking outside the box and when they die they are put in a box.
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Only in recent history has working hard signaled pride rather than shame for lack of talent, finesse and, mostly, sprezzatura .
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Forecasting by bureaucrats tends to be used for anxiety relief rather than for adequate policy making.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Wit seduces by signaling intelligence without nerdiness.
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There are systems that use failure as fuel for improvement, where the cost of failure is small.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
The person you are most afraid to contradict is yourself.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
But they never notice the following inconsistency: this so-called worst-case event, when it happened, exceeded the worst case at the time.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
You have a real life if and only if you do not compete with anyone in any of your pursuits.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Education makes the wise slightly wiser, but it makes the fool vastly more dangerous.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb