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I always remind myself that what one observes is at best a combination of variance and returns, not just returns.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Age: 64
Born: 1960
Born: September 11
Author
Economist
Essayist
Mathematician
Philosopher
Statistician
University Teacher
Writer
Nassim Nicholas Najib Taleb
Nassim Taleb
Combination
Return
Best
Always
Observes
Variance
Returns
Remind

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Aesthetics, ethics, and many good things in humans are contagious.
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The best way to measure the loss of intellectual sophistication - this nerdification, to put it bluntly - is in the growing disappearance of sarcasm, as mechanic minds take insults a bit too literally.
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Things always become obvious after the fact
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The same past data can confirm a theory and its exact opposite! If you survive until tomorrow, it could mean that either a) you are more likely to be immortal or b) that you are closer to death.
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There is no effective difference between guessing a variable that is not random, but for which information is partial or deficient, and a random one. In this sense, guessing (what I don't know, but what someone else may know) and predicting (what has not taken place yet) are the same thing.
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Is the economy something organic or is it something engineered? I think it's closer to the organic. You harm it by artificially suppressing volatility in it.
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If you let markets - in general, my belief is that if you let markets give you information, they'll give you the information rather than artificially prop up everything.
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Anything that provides you with very, very stable income, very stable conditions, maybe generally stable, that often, it masks real risks, risks of blow-ups.
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Most people are sceptical about the wrong things and gullible about the wrong things.
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A good maxim allows you to have the last word without even starting a conversation.
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Prediction, not narration, is the real test of our understanding of the world.
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Success is becoming in middle adulthood what you dreamed to be in late childhood.
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The book is the only medium left that hasn't been corrupted by the profane.
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true humility is when you can surprise yourself more than others the rest is either shyness or good marketing
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I want to live happily in a world I don’t understand.
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You have a real life if and only if you do not compete with anyone in any of your pursuits.
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Realism is punishing. Probabilistic skepticism is worse.
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Karl Marx, a visionary, figured out that you can control a slave much better by convincing him he is an employee.
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Please, don’t drive a school bus blindfolded.
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It is remarkable how fast and how effectively you can construct a nationality with a flag , a few speeches, and a national anthem to this day I avoid the label Lebanese, preferring the less restrictive Levantine designation.
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