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It's not a good idea to take a forecast from someone wearing a tie. If possible, tease people who take themselves and their knowledge too seriously.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Age: 64
Born: 1960
Born: September 11
Author
Economist
Essayist
Mathematician
Philosopher
Statistician
University Teacher
Writer
Nassim Nicholas Najib Taleb
Nassim Taleb
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Forecasts
Ideas
Tease
Take
Ties
Good
Wearing
People
Seriously
Possible
Knowledge
Idea
Forecast

More quotes by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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It is a sign of weakness to avoid showing signs of weakness.
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Things always become obvious after the fact
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Economic life should be definancialised. We should learn not to use markets as storehouses of value: they do not harbour the certainties that normal citizens require. Citizens should experience anxiety about their own businesses (which they control), not their investments (which they do not control).
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An erudite is someone who displays less than he knows a journalist or consultant the opposite.
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Never trust a journalist unless she's your mother.
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Only the autodidacts are free.
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Education makes the wise slightly wiser, but it makes the fool vastly more dangerous.
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The fragile wants tranquility, the antifragile grows from disorder, and the robust doesn't care too much.
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I lift heavy weights and sprint, but I am so bad at it that I develop severe injuries.
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I'd rather have the market tell us what - I'd rather have events precipitate events, rather than just sit there like passive people in Washington.
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The traits I respect are erudition and the courage to stand up when half-men are afraid for their reputation. Any idiot can be intelligent.
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When you ask people, 'What's the opposite of fragile?,' they tend to say robust, resilient, adaptable, solid, strong. That's not it. The opposite of fragile is something that gains from disorder.
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The psychologist Gerd Gigerenzer has a simple heuristic. Never ask the doctor what you should do. Ask him what he would do if he were in your place. You would be surprised at the difference
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Probability is not about the odds, but about the belief in the existence of an alternative outcome, cause, or motive.
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It is also naïve empiricism to provide, in support of some argument, series of eloquent confirmatory quotes by dead authorities. By searching, you can always find someone who made a well-sounding statement that confirms your point of view and, on every topic, it is possible to find another dead thinker who said the exact opposite.
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Realism is punishing. Probabilistic skepticism is worse.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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I remind myself of Einstein's remark that common sense is nothing but a collection of misconceptions acquired by age 18.
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Older people are most beautiful when they have what is lacking in the young: poise, erudition, wisdom, phronesis, and this post-heroic absence of agitation.
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The more data we have, the more likely we are to drown in it.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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If something is going on, I hear about it. I like to talk to people, I socialise. Television is a waste of time. Human contact is what matters.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb