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A prophet is not someone with special visions, just someone blind to most of what others see

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Age: 64
Born: 1960
Born: September 11
Author
Economist
Essayist
Mathematician
Philosopher
Statistician
University Teacher
Writer
Nassim Nicholas Najib Taleb
Nassim Taleb
Someone
Visions
Prophet
Blind
Vision
Special
Others

More quotes by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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Heroes are heroes because they are heroic in behavior, not because they won or lost.
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Writing is the art of repeating oneself without anyone noticing.
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I always remind myself that what one observes is at best a combination of variance and returns, not just returns.
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Someone who says I am busy is either declaring incompetence (and lack of control of his life) or trying to get rid of you.
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Doctors most commonly get mixed up between absence of evidence and evidence of abense
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I no longer care about the financial system. I gave them my roadmap. OK? Thanks, bye. I've no idea what's going on. I'm disconnected. I'm totally disengaged.
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When you write, you don't have the social constraints of having people in front of you, so you talk about abstract matters.
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The more data we have, the more likely we are to drown in it.
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Steve Jobs, Bill Gates and Mark Zuckerberg didn't finish college. Too much emphasis is placed on formal education - I told my children not to worry about their grades but to enjoy learning.
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The worst side effect of wealth is the social associations it forces on its victims, as people with big houses end up socializing with other people with big houses.
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Banking is a very treacherous business because you don't realize it is risky until it is too late. It is like calm waters that deliver huge storms.
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But they never notice the following inconsistency: this so-called worst-case event, when it happened, exceeded the worst case at the time.
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There is a certain category of fool-the overeducated, the academic, the journalist, the newspaper reader, the mechanistic scientist, the pseudo-empiricist, those endowed with what I call epistemic arrogance, this wonderful ability to discount what they did not see, the unobserved.
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Probability is not about the odds, but about the belief in the existence of an alternative outcome, cause, or motive.
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I'm a capitalist but one who is smallist and localist, and who favours businesses where owners are still in charge.
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You never win an argument until they attack your person.
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Never think that lack of variability is stability. Don't confuse lack of volatility with stability, ever.
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Modernity has replaced ethics with legalese, and the law can be gamed with a good lawyer.
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History is opaque. You see what comes out, not the script that produces events, [...] The generator of historical events is different from the events themselves, much as the minds of the gods cannot be read just by witnessing their deeds.
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I disagree with the followers of Marx and those of Adam Smith: the reason free markets work is because they allow people to be lucky, thanks to aggressive trial and error, not by giving rewards or incentives for skill.
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