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The inability to predict outliers implies the inability to predict the course of history
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Age: 64
Born: 1960
Born: September 11
Author
Economist
Essayist
Mathematician
Philosopher
Statistician
University Teacher
Writer
Nassim Nicholas Najib Taleb
Nassim Taleb
History
Outliers
Implies
Predict
Inability
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More quotes by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
It was obvious that their profits were simply cash borrowed from destiny with some random payback time.
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Things always become obvious after the fact
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I always remind myself that what one observes is at best a combination of variance and returns, not just returns.
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Globalization has created this interlocking fragility. At no time in the history of the universe has the cancellation of a Christmas order in New York meant layoffs in China.
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Greatness starts with the replacement of hatred with polite disdain.
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An option hides where we don't want it to hide.
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We glorify those who left their names in history books at the expense of those contributors about whom our books are silent. We humans are not just a superficial race - we are a very unfair one.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Never take advice from someone wearing a tie.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
I'm a capitalist but one who is smallist and localist, and who favours businesses where owners are still in charge.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
I lift heavy weights and sprint, but I am so bad at it that I develop severe injuries.
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It has been more profitable for us to bind together in the wrong direction than to be alone in the right one.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Aesthetics, ethics, and many good things in humans are contagious.
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Only the autodidacts are free.
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The world we live in is vastly different from the world we think we live in.
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If you don't feel that you haven't read enough, you haven't read enough.
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The psychologist Gerd Gigerenzer has a simple heuristic. Never ask the doctor what you should do. Ask him what he would do if he were in your place. You would be surprised at the difference
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
I don't know anyone on Wall Street who goes to work every day thinking of anything but how to increase their bonus.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Prediction, not narration, is the real test of our understanding of the world.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
If you roll dice, you know that the odds are one in six that the dice will come up on a particular side. So you can calculate the risk. But, in the stock market, such computations are bull - you don't even know how many sides the dice have!
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Anything that provides you with very, very stable income, very stable conditions, maybe generally stable, that often, it masks real risks, risks of blow-ups.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
