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When you develop your opinions on the basis of weak evidence, you will have difficulty interpreting subsequent information that contradicts these opinions, even if this new information is obviously more accurate.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Age: 64
Born: 1960
Born: September 11
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Economist
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Mathematician
Philosopher
Statistician
University Teacher
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Nassim Nicholas Najib Taleb
Nassim Taleb
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More quotes by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Banks have never made money in the history of banking, losing the equivalent of all their past profits periodically - while bankers strike it rich.
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When we want to do something while unconsciously certain to fail, we seek advice so we can blame someone else for the failure.
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The psychologist Gerd Gigerenzer has a simple heuristic. Never ask the doctor what you should do. Ask him what he would do if he were in your place. You would be surprised at the difference
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A man without a heroic bent starts dying at the age of thirty.
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Anything that provides you with very, very stable income, very stable conditions, maybe generally stable, that often, it masks real risks, risks of blow-ups.
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Only in recent history has working hard signaled pride rather than shame for lack of talent, finesse and, mostly, sprezzatura .
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We should reward people, not ridicule them, for thinking the impossible.
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We should probably stop trading derivatives, anything more complex than regular options ... I am an options trader, and I don't understand options. How do you want a regulator to understand them?
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If I could predict what my day would exactly look like, I would feel a little bit dead.
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Never ask a trader if he is profitable: you can easily see it in his gesture and gait.
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An option hides where we don't want it to hide.
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Please, don’t drive a school bus blindfolded.
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Forecasting by bureaucrats tends to be used for anxiety relief rather than for adequate policy making.
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The number of managers with great track records in a given market depends far more on the number of people who started in the investment business (in place of going to dental school), rather than on their ability to produce profits.
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I disagree with the followers of Marx and those of Adam Smith: the reason free markets work is because they allow people to be lucky, thanks to aggressive trial and error, not by giving rewards or incentives for skill.
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Experience is devoid of the cherry-picking that we find in studies.
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Don't ask the barber whether you need a haircut, and don't ask an academic if what he does is relevant.
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Those who do not think that employment is systemic slavery are either blind or employed.
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Decomposition, for most, starts when they leave the free, social, and uncorrupted college life for the solitary confinement of professions and nuclear families.
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The rationalist imagines an imbecile-free society the empiricist and imbecile-proof one, or even better, a rationalist-proof one.
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