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When you develop your opinions on the basis of weak evidence, you will have difficulty interpreting subsequent information that contradicts these opinions, even if this new information is obviously more accurate.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Age: 64
Born: 1960
Born: September 11
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Economist
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Mathematician
Philosopher
Statistician
University Teacher
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Nassim Nicholas Najib Taleb
Nassim Taleb
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The fragile wants tranquility, the antifragile grows from disorder, and the robust doesn't care too much.
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It is often the mistakes of others that benefit the rest of us and, sadly, not them ... For the antifragile, harm from errors should be less than the benefits.
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Just as being nice to the arrogant is no better than being arrogant toward the nice, being accommodating toward anyone committing a nefarious action condones it.
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The best test of whether someone is extremely stupid (or extremely wise) is whether financial and political news makes sense to him.
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[A] theory is a very dangerous thing to have.
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Greatness starts with the replacement of hatred with polite disdain.
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By setting oneself totally free of constraints, free of thoughts, free of this debilitating activity called work, free of efforts, elements hidden in the texture of reality start staring at you then mysteries that you never thought existed emerge in front of your eyes.
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Probability is not about the odds, but about the belief in the existence of an alternative outcome, cause, or motive.
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Things always become obvious after the fact
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Older people are most beautiful when they have what is lacking in the young: poise, erudition, wisdom, phronesis, and this post-heroic absence of agitation.
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Stoicism is about the *domestication* of emotions, not their elimination.
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My best definition of a nerd: someone who asks you to explain an aphorism
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Daily news and sugar confuse our system in the same manner.
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Never ask anyone for their opinion, forecast, or recommendation. Just ask them what they have—or don’t have—in their portfolio.
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You never win an argument until they attack your person.
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We know from chaos theory that even if you had a perfect model of the world, you'd need infinite precision in order to predict future events. With sociopolitical or economic phenomena, we don't have anything like that.
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Economics make homeopath and alternative healers look empirical and scientific.
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Banking is a very treacherous business because you don't realize it is risky until it is too late. It is like calm waters that deliver huge storms.
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Experience is devoid of the cherry-picking that we find in studies.
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Wit seduces by signaling intelligence without nerdiness.
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