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Things always become obvious after the fact
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Age: 64
Born: 1960
Born: September 11
Author
Economist
Essayist
Mathematician
Philosopher
Statistician
University Teacher
Writer
Nassim Nicholas Najib Taleb
Nassim Taleb
Things
Obvious
Fact
Facts
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Always
More quotes by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Maximum of an average is necessarily less volatile than the average maximum
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When some systems are stuck in a dangerous impasse, randomness and only randomness can unlock them and set them free.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Daily news and sugar confuse our system in the same manner.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
There is a certain category of fool-the overeducated, the academic, the journalist, the newspaper reader, the mechanistic scientist, the pseudo-empiricist, those endowed with what I call epistemic arrogance, this wonderful ability to discount what they did not see, the unobserved.
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An option hides where we don't want it to hide.
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The inability to predict outliers implies the inability to predict the course of history
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
If I could predict what my day would exactly look like, I would feel a little bit dead.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Wit seduces by signaling intelligence without nerdiness.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Being an economist is the least ethical profession, closer to charlatanism than any science.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Charm is the ability to insult people without offending them nerdiness the reverse
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The psychologist Gerd Gigerenzer has a simple heuristic. Never ask the doctor what you should do. Ask him what he would do if he were in your place. You would be surprised at the difference
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The fool generalizes the particular the nerd particularizes the general some do both and the wise does neither
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It is often the mistakes of others that benefit the rest of us and, sadly, not them ... For the antifragile, harm from errors should be less than the benefits.
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A washing machine needs constant maintenance. It doesn't want any harm. It wants tranquility, and you need someone to - you're not going to harm it by continuously monitoring it and adjusting it.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Never ask anyone for their opinion, forecast, or recommendation. Just ask them what they have—or don’t have—in their portfolio.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Modernity has replaced ethics with legalese, and the law can be gamed with a good lawyer.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
I lift heavy weights and sprint, but I am so bad at it that I develop severe injuries.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Never think that lack of variability is stability. Don't confuse lack of volatility with stability, ever.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
If you're going to fail, you'd rather fail early than fail late in general.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Stoicism is about the *domestication* of emotions, not their elimination.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb