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It might be useful to be able to predict war. But tension does not necessarily lead to war, but often to peace and to denouement.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Age: 64
Born: 1960
Born: September 11
Author
Economist
Essayist
Mathematician
Philosopher
Statistician
University Teacher
Writer
Nassim Nicholas Najib Taleb
Nassim Taleb
Might
Useful
Necessarily
Lead
Peace
War
Often
Denouement
Doe
Predict
Able
Tension

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You don't become completely free by just avoiding being a slave you also need to avoid becoming a master.
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If something is going on, I hear about it. I like to talk to people, I socialise. Television is a waste of time. Human contact is what matters.
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Also, it's good to have more than one profession, in case your own profession goes out of style. A Wall Street trader who's also a belly dancer will do a lot better than a trader who winds up driving a taxi.
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Heroes are heroes because they are heroic in behavior, not because they won or lost.
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If humans fight the last war, nature fights the next one.
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Injecting some confusion stabilizes the system.
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I always remind myself that what one observes is at best a combination of variance and returns, not just returns.
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