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Never think that lack of variability is stability. Don't confuse lack of volatility with stability, ever.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Age: 64
Born: 1960
Born: September 11
Author
Economist
Essayist
Mathematician
Philosopher
Statistician
University Teacher
Writer
Nassim Nicholas Najib Taleb
Nassim Taleb
Volatility
Confuse
Stability
Lack
Ever
Never
Think
Thinking
Variability
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Banking is a very treacherous business because you don't realize it is risky until it is too late. It is like calm waters that deliver huge storms.
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I'm in favour of religion as a tamer of arrogance. For a Greek Orthodox, the idea of God as creator outside the human is not God in God's terms. My God isn't the God of George Bush.
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You have a real life if and only if you do not compete with anyone in any of your pursuits.
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I suppose that the main benefit of being rich (over just being independent) is to be able to despise rich people (a good concentration of whom you find in glitzy ski resorts) without any sour grapes. It is even sweeter when these farts don't know that you are richer than they are.
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I want to live happily in a world I don’t understand.
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Dress your best on your execution day. Be extremely courteous to your assistant when you lose money. Try not to blame others for your fate, even if they deserve blame. Never exhibit any self-pity. Do not complain.
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The bonus for bankers fragilizes the system. Someone has the upside at the expense of others.
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To succeed in life requires a total inability to do anything that makes you uncomfortable when you look at yourself in the mirror.
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Maximum of an average is necessarily less volatile than the average maximum
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They think that intelligence is about noticing things are relevant (detecting patterns) in a complex world, intelligence consists in ignoring things that are irrelevant (avoiding false patterns)
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Modernity: we created youth without heroism, age without wisdom, and life without grandeur
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Go to parties. You can't even start to know what you may find on the envelope of serendipity. If you suffer from agoraphobia, send colleagues.
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Experience is devoid of the cherry-picking that we find in studies.
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There is a certain category of fool-the overeducated, the academic, the journalist, the newspaper reader, the mechanistic scientist, the pseudo-empiricist, those endowed with what I call epistemic arrogance, this wonderful ability to discount what they did not see, the unobserved.
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When some systems are stuck in a dangerous impasse, randomness and only randomness can unlock them and set them free.
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Probability is not about the odds, but about the belief in the existence of an alternative outcome, cause, or motive.
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Forecasting by bureaucrats tends to be used for anxiety relief rather than for adequate policy making.
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By setting oneself totally free of constraints, free of thoughts, free of this debilitating activity called work, free of efforts, elements hidden in the texture of reality start staring at you then mysteries that you never thought existed emerge in front of your eyes.
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Academia is to knowledge what prostitution is to love.
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Doctors most commonly get mixed up between absence of evidence and evidence of abense
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