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African-American voters are not nearly as enthusiastic about [Hillary] Clinton as they were about [Barack] Obama.

Mara Liasson

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Mara Liasson
Age: 69
Born: 1955
Born: June 13
Journalist
New York City
New York
Nearly
Obama
Clinton
American
Enthusiastic
Voters
African
Hillary

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Donald Trump is a candidate who divided his own party more deeply than any presidential candidate has before.
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The Republican Party, right now, is a conservative populist party.
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If [Hillary] Clinton wins, history will also be made: She would be the first female U.S. president, of course, but also the only candidate in the modern era, other than George H.W. Bush, who managed to follow a two-term president of her own party.
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People like Ted Cruz, who has tried to position himself as the best second choice for [Donald] Trump supporters, wouldn't condemn him.
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If [Donald] Trump wins narrowly, Democrats can blame the loss on FBI director James Comey, who inserted himself late in the campaign in an unprecedented way.
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Mitt Romney got 59 percent of the white vote in 2012, considered by many to be a high-water mark with this demographic group. Can [Donald] Trump win a higher share of white voters than Romney and get more of them to turn out?
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If [Hillary] Clinton can't boost African-American turnout, even with all that help, the question becomes whether she can make up for it with historic levels of support from Hispanics and suburban women.
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The base has chosen or is choosing a candidate that the establishment says is absolutely unacceptable. And what that means is this marriage of an elite, big business-backed establishment and a blue-collar, downwardly mobile base has really come to a divorce.
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The enthusiasm for [Donald] Trump had gone up. The net result was it made people more supportive of him.
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The GOP establishment, in particular, is facing a pick-your-poison kind of decision. Many establishment Republicans dislike [Ted] Cruz personally. He has no Senate endorsements.
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Romney still enjoys the Republicans' traditional advantage among voters who are veterans, but the Obama campaign is confident it can chip away at that.
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On the other side, you have the conservative intelligentsia - magazines like National Review, which has a big anti-Trump issue Weekly Standard editor, conservative talk show hosts - they're mounting a big anti-Trump effort, pro-Cruz effort because they think [Donald] Trump is dangerous and he's not qualified to be commander in chief.
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I think that's why we see this mixed reaction - Republican congressional leaders like Paul Ryan speaking out very firmly, but Republican candidates not as much, with the exception of the candidates in the single digits like Jeb Bush or Lindsey Graham, who said how to make America great again tell - Donald Trump to go to hell.
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If [Donald] Trump loses narrowly, it will make it much harder for the GOP to unify. Under that scenario, the Trumpists are likely to argue that the election was lost because the Republican establishment failed to rally around the choice their own voters made.
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What if he says [Donald Trump] plans to run again in 2020?
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The winner's margin of victory also matters. If it's a squeaker, that will make the lessons learned for both parties much murkier.
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As one person said to me , Republicans know [Donald] Trump is a stain on their party.
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Obama has built his public image around his ability to bridge divisions - racial, ideological or generational. And that was his reputation, even at Harvard Law School, where he was the first black president of the 'Law Review.
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Many people feel he did cross a line in a way he hadn't even done before and also that Republicans had to speak out because they believe Trump poses a danger to the party.
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For a long time, many Republicans thought if they just took two aspirin and laid down, [Donald] Trump would go away.
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