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Mitt Romney got 59 percent of the white vote in 2012, considered by many to be a high-water mark with this demographic group. Can [Donald] Trump win a higher share of white voters than Romney and get more of them to turn out?
Mara Liasson
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Mara Liasson
Age: 69
Born: 1955
Born: June 13
Journalist
New York City
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More quotes by Mara Liasson
After months and months at the top of the polls, there is a real possibility that Donald Trump could be the nominee.
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Donald Trump is a candidate who divided his own party more deeply than any presidential candidate has before.
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The lesson is that voters in both parties are in a very anti-establishment, populist mood. Hillary Clinton is the establishment candidate.
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There was another Cleveland rally [of Hillary Clinton] - this one with LeBron James.
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If [Hillary] Clinton wins, history will also be made: She would be the first female U.S. president, of course, but also the only candidate in the modern era, other than George H.W. Bush, who managed to follow a two-term president of her own party.
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Does Donald Trump accept the results and concede graciously, pursue legal action, or tell his followers to take to the streets?
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A big win for [Hillary] Clinton would allow her to claim that the country rejected Trumpism, while a narrow win leaves her limping into office with the highest unfavorable ratings for any new president.
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The Democrats pulled out one of their most powerful surrogates - and no, it wasn't President [Barack] Obama. Beyoncé showed up at a GOTV rally in Cleveland, joining her husband, Jay Z, and Hillary Clinton.
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The Republican Party, right now, is a conservative populist party.
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On the other side, you have the conservative intelligentsia - magazines like National Review, which has a big anti-Trump issue Weekly Standard editor, conservative talk show hosts - they're mounting a big anti-Trump effort, pro-Cruz effort because they think [Donald] Trump is dangerous and he's not qualified to be commander in chief.
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If [Donald] Trump loses narrowly, it will make it much harder for the GOP to unify. Under that scenario, the Trumpists are likely to argue that the election was lost because the Republican establishment failed to rally around the choice their own voters made.
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Hillary Clinton is also not a very exciting, inspiring candidate to a lot of the left-leaning Democratic base, especially in Iowa.
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If [Donald] Trump drags down a bunch of Senate Republicans, the post-election GOP assessment will be much more pessimistic.
Mara Liasson
[Donald] Trump's path to victory depends on getting historic levels of support from white voters, and particularly large numbers of white, non-college-educated voters.
Mara Liasson
Republicans like Trent Lott, saying [Donald] Trump would be more flexible [then Ted Cruz].
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The [Hillary] Clinton campaign's recent travel schedule shows how seriously it takes this problem. She and her surrogates have held rallies in cities like Philadelphia, Detroit and Cleveland, trying to boost turnout among African-Americans.
Mara Liasson
If Donald Trump wins, it will be a seismic event.
Mara Liasson
The base has chosen or is choosing a candidate that the establishment says is absolutely unacceptable. And what that means is this marriage of an elite, big business-backed establishment and a blue-collar, downwardly mobile base has really come to a divorce.
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African-American voters are not nearly as enthusiastic about [Hillary] Clinton as they were about [Barack] Obama.
Mara Liasson
I think that's why we see this mixed reaction - Republican congressional leaders like Paul Ryan speaking out very firmly, but Republican candidates not as much, with the exception of the candidates in the single digits like Jeb Bush or Lindsey Graham, who said how to make America great again tell - Donald Trump to go to hell.
Mara Liasson