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[Donald] Trump's path to victory depends on getting historic levels of support from white voters, and particularly large numbers of white, non-college-educated voters.

Mara Liasson

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Mara Liasson
Age: 69
Born: 1955
Born: June 13
Journalist
New York City
New York
Getting
Large
White
Depends
College
Historic
Levels
Voters
Numbers
Educated
Trump
Particularly
Path
Donald
Support
Victory

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Donald Trump is a candidate who divided his own party more deeply than any presidential candidate has before.
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The base has chosen or is choosing a candidate that the establishment says is absolutely unacceptable. And what that means is this marriage of an elite, big business-backed establishment and a blue-collar, downwardly mobile base has really come to a divorce.
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Republican candidates have won whites with college degrees in every presidential election since polling began.
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As those states and others in the South and West become more diverse and educated, they will become harder for the Republican Party - in its current form - to win.
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Does Donald Trump accept the results and concede graciously, pursue legal action, or tell his followers to take to the streets?
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If [Donald] Trump wins narrowly, Democrats can blame the loss on FBI director James Comey, who inserted himself late in the campaign in an unprecedented way.
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Ted Cruz is a small-government conservative.
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You have [Donald] Trump and [Ted] Cruz battling it out, and the moderate establishment candidates like Chris Christie or Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, John Kasich - they have formed a circular firing squad.
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If [Donald] Trump drags down a bunch of Senate Republicans, the post-election GOP assessment will be much more pessimistic.
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[Donald Trump ] would make history in so many ways because he is a candidate who eschewed the traditional arts of political campaigns, including field organization, traditional advertising, debate preparation and policy knowledge.
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If [Hillary] Clinton can't boost African-American turnout, even with all that help, the question becomes whether she can make up for it with historic levels of support from Hispanics and suburban women.
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Many people feel he did cross a line in a way he hadn't even done before and also that Republicans had to speak out because they believe Trump poses a danger to the party.
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Donald Trump has said he wants to keep Medicare and Social Security the way they are. Congressman Price along with most Republicans are on record supporting voucherizing Medicare. So there are going to be some conflicts to resolve there.
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What does [Hillary] Clinton do if she loses? Concede? Blame the Russians? Or the FBI?
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What if he says [Donald Trump] plans to run again in 2020?
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I think that's why we see this mixed reaction - Republican congressional leaders like Paul Ryan speaking out very firmly, but Republican candidates not as much, with the exception of the candidates in the single digits like Jeb Bush or Lindsey Graham, who said how to make America great again tell - Donald Trump to go to hell.
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White voters were 72 percent of the electorate in 2012, and their share of the population has shrunk a couple points since then. [Donald] Trump has had trouble winning certain segments of the white vote, such as suburban women and college-educated voters.
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The lesson is that voters in both parties are in a very anti-establishment, populist mood. Hillary Clinton is the establishment candidate.
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On the other side, you have the conservative intelligentsia - magazines like National Review, which has a big anti-Trump issue Weekly Standard editor, conservative talk show hosts - they're mounting a big anti-Trump effort, pro-Cruz effort because they think [Donald] Trump is dangerous and he's not qualified to be commander in chief.
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Even if [Donald] Trump concedes, some of his supporters have promised to take up arms against [Hillary] Clinton.
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