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Any believable prediction will be wrong. Any correct prediction will be unbelievable.
Kevin Kelly
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Kevin Kelly
Age: 72
Born: 1952
Born: April 28
Contributing Editor
Editor
Journalist
Photographer
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Pennsylvania
United States
Kevin kelly
Wrong
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Believable
Predictions
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Evolution doesn't care about what makes sense it cares about what works
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Organizations get invested into a particular product. And sometimes the best thing is to stop making that product, even though it's profitable, because it has optimized at a local peak.
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Extrapolated, technology wants what life wants: Increasing efficiency Increasing opportunity Increasing emergence Increasing complexity Increasing diversity Increasing specialization Increasing ubiquity Increasing freedom Increasing mutualism Increasing beauty Increasing sentience Increasing structure Increasing evolvability
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The most interesting thing about change in the environment is that for the most part the environment isn't changing.
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Softball isn't just a game it's away of life.
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Changing things from the top down works when things are stable.
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Why fear feedback? Why stigmatize failure in the workplace when it's bringing you closer to achieving your organizational goals.
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The way that organizations and organisms anticipate the future is by taking signals from the past, most the time.
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Technology is anything that was invented after you were born.
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Clearly, we are self-made. We are the first technology. We are part inventor and part the invented
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I work in a you scratch my back, and I'll stab yours kind of a place.
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The young are always coming up with the good ideas it's because they waste time. They follow their passion and do something, not looking for a payoff, just doing what's interesting.
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It's more along the lines of raising a child: we train the system to a certain range of behaviors that we find most useful. But then we let it go, because we don't want to have to be babysitting it the whole time.
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Humans are the reproductive organs of technology. We multiply manufactured artifacts and spread ideas and memes.
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The organization and the environment are in concert.
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In the context of your dreams,knowledge will always gives you enough reasons not to act. Act regardless and execute xceptionally
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Willingness to learn is important, but willingness to act on what you learn is critical.
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We tend to think of the mind of an organization residing in the CEO and the organization's top managers, perhaps with the help of outside consultants that they call in. But that is not really how an organization thinks.
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But in a turbulent environment the change is so widespread that it just routes around any kind of central authority. So it is best to manage the bottom-up change rather than try to institute it from the top down.
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The way to build a complex system that works is to build it from very simple systems that work.
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