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The way that organizations and organisms anticipate the future is by taking signals from the past, most the time.

Kevin Kelly

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Kevin Kelly
Age: 72
Born: 1952
Born: April 28
Contributing Editor
Editor
Journalist
Photographer
Writer
Pennsylvania
United States
Kevin kelly
Way
Signals
Time
Organisms
Organizations
Organization
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Future
Past
Anticipate

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Technology is anything that was invented after you were born.
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In a broad systems sense, an organism's environment is indistinguishable from the organism itself.
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It's more along the lines of raising a child: we train the system to a certain range of behaviors that we find most useful. But then we let it go, because we don't want to have to be babysitting it the whole time.
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Why fear feedback? Why stigmatize failure in the workplace when it's bringing you closer to achieving your organizational goals.
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The most certain thing you can say about the environment tomorrow is that it probably is going to be just like today, for the most part.
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Technology is anything that doesn't work yet.
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Extrapolated, technology wants what life wants: Increasing efficiency Increasing opportunity Increasing emergence Increasing complexity Increasing diversity Increasing specialization Increasing ubiquity Increasing freedom Increasing mutualism Increasing beauty Increasing sentience Increasing structure Increasing evolvability
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This is actually a very important principle that science is learning about large systems like evolution and that futurists are learning about anticipating human society: just because a future scenario is plausible doesn't mean we can get there from here.
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But in a turbulent environment the change is so widespread that it just routes around any kind of central authority. So it is best to manage the bottom-up change rather than try to institute it from the top down.
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Any believable prediction will be wrong. Any correct prediction will be unbelievable.
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The young are always coming up with the good ideas it's because they waste time. They follow their passion and do something, not looking for a payoff, just doing what's interesting.
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We're just at the beginning of the beginning of all these kind of changes. There's a sense that all the big things have happened, but relatively speaking, nothing big has happened yet. In 20 years from now we'll look back and say, 'Well, nothing really happened in the last 20 years.'
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Everything that we are making, we are making more and more complex.
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