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The most dangerous states in the international system are continental powers with large armies.
John Mearsheimer
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John Mearsheimer
Age: 76
Born: 1947
Born: December 14
Military Officer
Political Scientist
Professor
University Teacher
Writer
New York City
New York
John Joseph Mearsheimer
John J. Mearsheimer
Large
Dangerous
System
States
Continental
Armies
Powers
Army
International
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The ideal situation for any state is to experience sharp economic growth while its rivals' economies grow slowly or hardly at all.
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Decapitation is a fanciful strategy.
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In the 1930s, Adolf Hitler believed that his great-power rivals would be easy to exploit and isolate because each had little interest in fighting Germany and instead was determined to get someone else to assume the burden. He guessed right.
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The German air offensives against British cities in World Wars I and II not only failed to coerce the United Kingdom to surrender, but Germany also lost both wars.
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Offensive realism predicts that the United States will send its army across the Atlantic when there is a potential hegemon in Europe that the local great powers cannot contain by themselves.
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The Soviet Union and its empire disappeared in large part because its smokestack economy could no longer keep up with the technological progress of the world's major economic powers.
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Great powers must be forever vigilant and never subordinate survival to any other goal, including prosperity.
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In an ideal world, where there are only good states, power would be largely irrelevant.
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China, in short has the potential to be considerably more powerful than even the United States.
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Simply put, the most powerful state is the one that prevails in a dispute.
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I believe that the existing power structures in Europe and Northeast Asia are not sustainable through 2020.
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