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Investment based on genuine long-term expectations is so difficult today as to be scarcely practicable.
John Maynard Keynes
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John Maynard Keynes
Age: 62 †
Born: 1883
Born: June 5
Died: 1946
Died: April 21
Businessperson
Diplomat
Economist
Mathematician
Non-Fiction Writer
Philosopher
Politician
Professor
Lord Keynes
Baron Keynes of Tilton
Difficult
Practicable
Today
Scarcely
Long
Investing
Investment
Genuine
Expectations
Based
Term
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Ideas, knowledge, art, hospitality, travel - these are things which should in their nature be international. But let goods be homespun whenever it is reasonably and conveniently possible and above all let finance be primarily national.
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The principle objectives in life are love, the creation and enjoyment if aesthetic experience, the pursuit of knowledge. Love comes a long way first.
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I was suffering from my chronic delusion that one good share is safer than ten bad ones, and I am always forgetting that hardly anyone else shares this particular delusion.
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Gold is a relic from a time when government's were less trustworthy in these matters (currency debasement) than they are now.
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When somebody persuades me I am wrong, I change my mind.
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One blames politicians, not for inconsistency but for obstinacy. They are the interpreters, not the masters, of our fate. It is their job, in fact, to register the fact accompli.
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Those, who are strongly wedded to what I shall call 'the classical theory', will fluctuate, I expect, between a belief that I am quite wrong and a belief that I am saying nothing new. It is for others to determine if either of these or the third alternative is right.
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But my lord, when we addressed this issue a few years ago, didn't you argue the other side? He said, That's true, but when I get more evidence I sometimes change my mind. What do you do?
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Nothing mattered except states of mind, chiefly our own.
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Pyramid-building, earthquakes, even wars may serve to increase wealth, if the education of our statesmen on the principles of the classical economics stands in the way of anything better.
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Education: the inculcation of the incomprehensible into the indifferent by the incompetent.
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I wish I'd drunk more champagne.
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The study of economics does not seem to require any specialised gifts of an unusually high order.
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For my own part, I believe that there is social and psychological justification for significant inequalities of incomes and wealth.
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By a continuing process of inflation, government can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens.
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Most, probably, of our decisions to do something positive, the full consequences of which will be drawn out over many days to come, can only be taken as the result of animal spirits-a spontaneous urge to action rather than inaction, and not as the outcome of a weighted average of quantitative benefits multiplied by quantitative probabilities.
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Government machinery has been described as a marvelous labor saving device which enables ten men to do the work of one.
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We will not have any more crashes in our time.
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The expected never happens it is the unexpected always.
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