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Investment based on genuine long-term expectations is so difficult today as to be scarcely practicable.
John Maynard Keynes
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John Maynard Keynes
Age: 62 †
Born: 1883
Born: June 5
Died: 1946
Died: April 21
Businessperson
Diplomat
Economist
Mathematician
Non-Fiction Writer
Philosopher
Politician
Professor
Lord Keynes
Baron Keynes of Tilton
Long
Investing
Investment
Genuine
Expectations
Based
Term
Difficult
Practicable
Today
Scarcely
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The key to selecting the winner isn't choosing the face you think is the most beautiful but rather the face other people will pick
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The immense accumulations of fixed capital which, to the great benefit of mankind, were built up during the half century before the war, could never have come about in a Society where wealth was divided equitably.
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If you owe your bank manager a thousand pounds, you are at his mercy. If you owe him a million pounds, he is at your mercy.
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There is no subtler, no surer means of overturning the existing basis of society than to debauch the currency.
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The markets are moved by animal spirits, and not by reason.
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If farming were to be organised like the stock market, a farmer would sell his farm in the morning when it was raining, only to buy it back in the afternoon when the sun came out.
John Maynard Keynes
Investing is an activity of forecasting the yield over the life of the asset speculation is the activity of forecasting the psychology of the market.
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The study of economics does not seem to require any specialised gifts of an unusually high order.
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The numeric system was invented to help man to put order in the chaos of the world.
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The destruction of the inducement to invest by an excessive liquidity-preference was the outstanding evil, the prime impediment to the growth of wealth, in the ancient and medieval worlds.
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If human nature felt no temptation to take a chance there might not be much investment merely as a result of cold calculation.
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Americans are apt to be unduly interested in discovering what average opinion believes average opinion to be.
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It is better to be roughly right than precisely wrong.
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I don't feel the least humble before the vastness of the heavens.
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It is ideas, not vested interests, which are dangerous for good or evil.
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It has been pointed out already that no knowledge of probabilities, less in degree than certainty, helps us to know what conclusions are true, and that there is no direct relation between the truth of a proposition and its probability. Probability begins and ends with probability.
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Newton was not the first of the age of reason, he was the last of the magicians.
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But my lord, when we addressed this issue a few years ago, didn't you argue the other side? He said, That's true, but when I get more evidence I sometimes change my mind. What do you do?
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I was suffering from my chronic delusion that one good share is safer than ten bad ones, and I am always forgetting that hardly anyone else shares this particular delusion.
John Maynard Keynes
The political problem of mankind is to combine three things: economic efficiency, social justice and individual liberty.
John Maynard Keynes
