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Futures thinking is hard work. Fortunately, you do get better at it with practice. It's worth the effort.
Jamais Cascio
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Jamais Cascio
Age: 123
Born: 1901
Born: January 1
Practice
Better
Hard
Work
Thinking
Futures
Fortunately
Worth
Effort
More quotes by Jamais Cascio
Participatory complexity may well be the key descriptor of the 21st century - in our economies, in our politics, and in our everyday lives.
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Greed, accident, or malice may have harmful results, but, barring something truly apocalyptic, a resilient system can absorb such results without its overall health being threatened.
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In a Photoshopped world, only the skeptical eye prevails.
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To be clear, geoengineering won't solve global warming. It's not a 'techno-fix.' It would be enormously risky and almost certainly lead to troubling unforeseen consequences.
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Nearly every communication method we invent eventually conveys unwanted commercial messages.
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The reality is that de-carbonisation is not happening fast enough.
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The highest compliment I can give a science fiction book is that it's 'plausibly surreal' - it manages to feel like a relentless extrapolation from today even as it overwhelms with unexpected consequences of that extrapolation.
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Sustainability is a seemingly laudable goal - it tells us we need to live within our means, whether economic, ecological, or political - but it's insufficient for uncertain times. How can we live within our means when those very means can change, swiftly and unexpectedly, beneath us?
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Nature stopped being natural decades ago.
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By ignoring tomorrow, we undermine today.
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When we developed written language, we significantly increased our functional memory and our ability to share insights and knowledge across time and space. The same thing happened with the invention of the printing press, the telegraph, and the radio.
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The difference between e-mail and regular mail is that computers handle e-mail, and computers never decide to come to work one day and shoot all the other computers.
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Human civilization has been changing the Earths environment for millennia, often to our detriment. Dams, deforestation and urbanization can alter water cycles and wind patterns, occasionally triggering droughts or even creating deserts.
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Cloud computing offers individuals access to data and applications from nearly any point of access to the Internet, offers businesses a whole new way to cut costs for technical infrastructure, and offers big computer companies a potentially giant market for hardware and services.
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My own suspicion is that a stand-alone artificial mind will be more a tool of narrow utility than something especially apocalyptic.
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Fluid intelligence doesn't look much like the capacity to memorise and recite facts, the skills that people have traditionally associated with brainpower.
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Most of us who work as professional futurists never really stop gathering information - you never know when a provocative, potentially disruptive new development might appear.
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Foresight turns out to be a critical adaptive strategy for times of great stress.
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Intelligence augmentation decreases the need for specialization and increases participatory complexity.
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As our various electronic devices gain more and more sensory awareness, we open up the potential for entirely new forms of interaction. Not just new interfaces - tapping and shaking and whatnot - but a shift in presence.
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