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The biggest potential and actual crises of the 21st century all have a strong, long, slow aspect with a significant lag between cause and effect. We have to train ourselves to be thinking in terms of longer-term results.

Jamais Cascio

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Jamais Cascio
Age: 123
Born: 1901
Born: January 1
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The highest compliment I can give a science fiction book is that it's 'plausibly surreal' - it manages to feel like a relentless extrapolation from today even as it overwhelms with unexpected consequences of that extrapolation.
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By ignoring tomorrow, we undermine today.
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Futures thinking is hard work. Fortunately, you do get better at it with practice. It's worth the effort.
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Intelligence augmentation decreases the need for specialization and increases participatory complexity.
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To be clear, geoengineering won't solve global warming. It's not a 'techno-fix.' It would be enormously risky and almost certainly lead to troubling unforeseen consequences.
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Participatory complexity may well be the key descriptor of the 21st century - in our economies, in our politics, and in our everyday lives.
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In a Photoshopped world, only the skeptical eye prevails.
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Fluid intelligence doesn't look much like the capacity to memorise and recite facts, the skills that people have traditionally associated with brainpower.
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The difference between e-mail and regular mail is that computers handle e-mail, and computers never decide to come to work one day and shoot all the other computers.
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Futurism is almost like a vaccination. You inject a little bit of a denatured pathogen to prepare your body in case you encounter it for real.
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Even if we were to stop putting out greenhouse gases right now, we'd still face decades of warming.
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My own suspicion is that a stand-alone artificial mind will be more a tool of narrow utility than something especially apocalyptic.
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As our various electronic devices gain more and more sensory awareness, we open up the potential for entirely new forms of interaction. Not just new interfaces - tapping and shaking and whatnot - but a shift in presence.
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Cloud computing offers individuals access to data and applications from nearly any point of access to the Internet, offers businesses a whole new way to cut costs for technical infrastructure, and offers big computer companies a potentially giant market for hardware and services.
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When we developed written language, we significantly increased our functional memory and our ability to share insights and knowledge across time and space. The same thing happened with the invention of the printing press, the telegraph, and the radio.
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Human civilization has been changing the Earths environment for millennia, often to our detriment. Dams, deforestation and urbanization can alter water cycles and wind patterns, occasionally triggering droughts or even creating deserts.
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