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The highest compliment I can give a science fiction book is that it's 'plausibly surreal' - it manages to feel like a relentless extrapolation from today even as it overwhelms with unexpected consequences of that extrapolation.

Jamais Cascio

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Jamais Cascio
Age: 123
Born: 1901
Born: January 1
Feels
Consequence
Overwhelms
Giving
Highest
Manages
Even
Fiction
Surreal
Like
Science
Relentless
Give
Compliment
Today
Unexpected
Book
Consequences
Extrapolation
Feel
Manage
Plausibly

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Human civilization has been changing the Earths environment for millennia, often to our detriment. Dams, deforestation and urbanization can alter water cycles and wind patterns, occasionally triggering droughts or even creating deserts.
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The biggest potential and actual crises of the 21st century all have a strong, long, slow aspect with a significant lag between cause and effect. We have to train ourselves to be thinking in terms of longer-term results.
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Preventing global warming from becoming a planetary catastrophe may take something even more drastic than renewable energy, superefficient urban design, and global carbon taxes.
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The reality is that de-carbonisation is not happening fast enough.
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Futures thinking is hard work. Fortunately, you do get better at it with practice. It's worth the effort.
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Participatory complexity may well be the key descriptor of the 21st century - in our economies, in our politics, and in our everyday lives.
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My own suspicion is that a stand-alone artificial mind will be more a tool of narrow utility than something especially apocalyptic.
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When we developed written language, we significantly increased our functional memory and our ability to share insights and knowledge across time and space. The same thing happened with the invention of the printing press, the telegraph, and the radio.
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By ignoring tomorrow, we undermine today.
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