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Greed, accident, or malice may have harmful results, but, barring something truly apocalyptic, a resilient system can absorb such results without its overall health being threatened.

Jamais Cascio

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Jamais Cascio
Age: 123
Born: 1901
Born: January 1
System
Overall
Results
Malice
May
Threatened
Without
Accident
Barring
Something
Greed
Apocalyptic
Accidents
Resilient
Truly
Harmful
Health
Absorb

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My own suspicion is that a stand-alone artificial mind will be more a tool of narrow utility than something especially apocalyptic.
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Futures thinking is hard work. Fortunately, you do get better at it with practice. It's worth the effort.
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Most of us who work as professional futurists never really stop gathering information - you never know when a provocative, potentially disruptive new development might appear.
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When we developed written language, we significantly increased our functional memory and our ability to share insights and knowledge across time and space. The same thing happened with the invention of the printing press, the telegraph, and the radio.
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Fluid intelligence doesn't look much like the capacity to memorise and recite facts, the skills that people have traditionally associated with brainpower.
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Participatory complexity may well be the key descriptor of the 21st century - in our economies, in our politics, and in our everyday lives.
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To be clear, geoengineering won't solve global warming. It's not a 'techno-fix.' It would be enormously risky and almost certainly lead to troubling unforeseen consequences.
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As our various electronic devices gain more and more sensory awareness, we open up the potential for entirely new forms of interaction. Not just new interfaces - tapping and shaking and whatnot - but a shift in presence.
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Cloud computing offers individuals access to data and applications from nearly any point of access to the Internet, offers businesses a whole new way to cut costs for technical infrastructure, and offers big computer companies a potentially giant market for hardware and services.
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The biggest potential and actual crises of the 21st century all have a strong, long, slow aspect with a significant lag between cause and effect. We have to train ourselves to be thinking in terms of longer-term results.
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Trying to do what your competitors are doing but basically a little bit better is probably not going to be the winning strategy. The problem is finding what your competitors wouldnt even consider doing.
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It's a pretty widely-accepted notion that the atmosphere is a ridiculously complex system, and the best we can do with our models is a rough approximation.
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The difference between e-mail and regular mail is that computers handle e-mail, and computers never decide to come to work one day and shoot all the other computers.
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Intelligence augmentation decreases the need for specialization and increases participatory complexity.
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Nearly every communication method we invent eventually conveys unwanted commercial messages.
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Sustainability is a seemingly laudable goal - it tells us we need to live within our means, whether economic, ecological, or political - but it's insufficient for uncertain times. How can we live within our means when those very means can change, swiftly and unexpectedly, beneath us?
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Preventing global warming from becoming a planetary catastrophe may take something even more drastic than renewable energy, superefficient urban design, and global carbon taxes.
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In a Photoshopped world, only the skeptical eye prevails.
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Futurism is almost like a vaccination. You inject a little bit of a denatured pathogen to prepare your body in case you encounter it for real.
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