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Intelligence augmentation decreases the need for specialization and increases participatory complexity.

Jamais Cascio

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Jamais Cascio
Age: 123
Born: 1901
Born: January 1
Increase
Intelligence
Augmentation
Need
Participatory
Needs
Decreases
Specialization
Decrease
Increases
Complexity

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Futures thinking is hard work. Fortunately, you do get better at it with practice. It's worth the effort.
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When we developed written language, we significantly increased our functional memory and our ability to share insights and knowledge across time and space. The same thing happened with the invention of the printing press, the telegraph, and the radio.
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The highest compliment I can give a science fiction book is that it's 'plausibly surreal' - it manages to feel like a relentless extrapolation from today even as it overwhelms with unexpected consequences of that extrapolation.
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Sustainability is a seemingly laudable goal - it tells us we need to live within our means, whether economic, ecological, or political - but it's insufficient for uncertain times. How can we live within our means when those very means can change, swiftly and unexpectedly, beneath us?
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Nearly every communication method we invent eventually conveys unwanted commercial messages.
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The difference between e-mail and regular mail is that computers handle e-mail, and computers never decide to come to work one day and shoot all the other computers.
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Nature stopped being natural decades ago.
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By ignoring tomorrow, we undermine today.
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Human civilization has been changing the Earths environment for millennia, often to our detriment. Dams, deforestation and urbanization can alter water cycles and wind patterns, occasionally triggering droughts or even creating deserts.
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Fluid intelligence doesn't look much like the capacity to memorise and recite facts, the skills that people have traditionally associated with brainpower.
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Foresight turns out to be a critical adaptive strategy for times of great stress.
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Even if we were to stop putting out greenhouse gases right now, we'd still face decades of warming.
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The biggest potential and actual crises of the 21st century all have a strong, long, slow aspect with a significant lag between cause and effect. We have to train ourselves to be thinking in terms of longer-term results.
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The reality is that de-carbonisation is not happening fast enough.
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Participatory complexity may well be the key descriptor of the 21st century - in our economies, in our politics, and in our everyday lives.
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As our various electronic devices gain more and more sensory awareness, we open up the potential for entirely new forms of interaction. Not just new interfaces - tapping and shaking and whatnot - but a shift in presence.
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To be clear, geoengineering won't solve global warming. It's not a 'techno-fix.' It would be enormously risky and almost certainly lead to troubling unforeseen consequences.
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It's a pretty widely-accepted notion that the atmosphere is a ridiculously complex system, and the best we can do with our models is a rough approximation.
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Preventing global warming from becoming a planetary catastrophe may take something even more drastic than renewable energy, superefficient urban design, and global carbon taxes.
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Cloud computing offers individuals access to data and applications from nearly any point of access to the Internet, offers businesses a whole new way to cut costs for technical infrastructure, and offers big computer companies a potentially giant market for hardware and services.
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