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My own suspicion is that a stand-alone artificial mind will be more a tool of narrow utility than something especially apocalyptic.

Jamais Cascio

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Jamais Cascio
Age: 123
Born: 1901
Born: January 1
Stand
Apocalyptic
Alone
Utility
Mind
Suspicion
Something
Narrow
Artificial
Tool
Tools
Especially

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Cloud computing offers individuals access to data and applications from nearly any point of access to the Internet, offers businesses a whole new way to cut costs for technical infrastructure, and offers big computer companies a potentially giant market for hardware and services.
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Greed, accident, or malice may have harmful results, but, barring something truly apocalyptic, a resilient system can absorb such results without its overall health being threatened.
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It's remarkably easy to dig up enormous amounts of information about individuals, without their consent.
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Intelligence augmentation decreases the need for specialization and increases participatory complexity.
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Computer programmers, biotechnologists, environmental scientists, neuroscientists, nanotech engineers - all of these fields, and more, should have at least a course in ethics as part of their degree requirements.
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Foresight turns out to be a critical adaptive strategy for times of great stress.
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When we developed written language, we significantly increased our functional memory and our ability to share insights and knowledge across time and space. The same thing happened with the invention of the printing press, the telegraph, and the radio.
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To be clear, geoengineering won't solve global warming. It's not a 'techno-fix.' It would be enormously risky and almost certainly lead to troubling unforeseen consequences.
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The highest compliment I can give a science fiction book is that it's 'plausibly surreal' - it manages to feel like a relentless extrapolation from today even as it overwhelms with unexpected consequences of that extrapolation.
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It's a pretty widely-accepted notion that the atmosphere is a ridiculously complex system, and the best we can do with our models is a rough approximation.
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Nature stopped being natural decades ago.
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Nearly every communication method we invent eventually conveys unwanted commercial messages.
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Even if we were to stop putting out greenhouse gases right now, we'd still face decades of warming.
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Fluid intelligence doesn't look much like the capacity to memorise and recite facts, the skills that people have traditionally associated with brainpower.
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Futurism is almost like a vaccination. You inject a little bit of a denatured pathogen to prepare your body in case you encounter it for real.
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The reality is that de-carbonisation is not happening fast enough.
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By ignoring tomorrow, we undermine today.
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Participatory complexity may well be the key descriptor of the 21st century - in our economies, in our politics, and in our everyday lives.
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The difference between e-mail and regular mail is that computers handle e-mail, and computers never decide to come to work one day and shoot all the other computers.
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Futures thinking is hard work. Fortunately, you do get better at it with practice. It's worth the effort.
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