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My own suspicion is that a stand-alone artificial mind will be more a tool of narrow utility than something especially apocalyptic.
Jamais Cascio
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Jamais Cascio
Age: 123
Born: 1901
Born: January 1
Something
Narrow
Artificial
Tool
Tools
Especially
Stand
Apocalyptic
Alone
Utility
Mind
Suspicion
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As our various electronic devices gain more and more sensory awareness, we open up the potential for entirely new forms of interaction. Not just new interfaces - tapping and shaking and whatnot - but a shift in presence.
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Nature stopped being natural decades ago.
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Computer programmers, biotechnologists, environmental scientists, neuroscientists, nanotech engineers - all of these fields, and more, should have at least a course in ethics as part of their degree requirements.
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Nearly every communication method we invent eventually conveys unwanted commercial messages.
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Most of us who work as professional futurists never really stop gathering information - you never know when a provocative, potentially disruptive new development might appear.
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Human civilization has been changing the Earths environment for millennia, often to our detriment. Dams, deforestation and urbanization can alter water cycles and wind patterns, occasionally triggering droughts or even creating deserts.
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The biggest potential and actual crises of the 21st century all have a strong, long, slow aspect with a significant lag between cause and effect. We have to train ourselves to be thinking in terms of longer-term results.
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Foresight turns out to be a critical adaptive strategy for times of great stress.
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Even if we were to stop putting out greenhouse gases right now, we'd still face decades of warming.
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It's remarkably easy to dig up enormous amounts of information about individuals, without their consent.
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Preventing global warming from becoming a planetary catastrophe may take something even more drastic than renewable energy, superefficient urban design, and global carbon taxes.
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It's a pretty widely-accepted notion that the atmosphere is a ridiculously complex system, and the best we can do with our models is a rough approximation.
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Futures thinking is hard work. Fortunately, you do get better at it with practice. It's worth the effort.
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Futurism is almost like a vaccination. You inject a little bit of a denatured pathogen to prepare your body in case you encounter it for real.
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The reality is that de-carbonisation is not happening fast enough.
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When we developed written language, we significantly increased our functional memory and our ability to share insights and knowledge across time and space. The same thing happened with the invention of the printing press, the telegraph, and the radio.
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Trying to do what your competitors are doing but basically a little bit better is probably not going to be the winning strategy. The problem is finding what your competitors wouldnt even consider doing.
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In a Photoshopped world, only the skeptical eye prevails.
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The difference between e-mail and regular mail is that computers handle e-mail, and computers never decide to come to work one day and shoot all the other computers.
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