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Question: So investors shouldn't delude themselves about beating the market? Answer: They're just not going to do it. It's just not going to happen.
Daniel Kahneman
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Daniel Kahneman
Age: 90
Born: 1934
Born: March 5
Economist
Psychologist
University Teacher
Tel Aviv
Israel
D Kahneman
Answer
Question
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Delude
Happen
Beating
Happens
Investors
Going
Investing
Shouldn
Market
More quotes by Daniel Kahneman
In a rising market, enough of your bad ideas will pay off so that you'll never learn that you should have fewer ideas.
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We can be blind to the obvious, and we are also blind to our blindness.
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An individual who expresses high confidence probably has a good story, which may or may not be true.
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People are very good [at] thinking about agents. The mind is set really beautifully to think about agents. Agents have traits. Agents have behaviors. We understand agents. We form global impression of their personalities. We are really not very good at remembering sentences where the subject of the sentence is an abstract notion.
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Except for some effects that I attribute mostly to age, my intuitive thinking is just as prone to overconfidence, extreme predictions, and the planning fallacy as it was before I made a study of these issues.
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Many people will admit that they made a mistake [putting money in dot-coms or telecoms at their peak] But that doesn’t mean that they’ve changed their mind about anything in particular. It doesn’t mean that they are now able to avoid that mistake.
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When people think of the outcomes of their decisions, they think much more short term than that. They think in terms of gains and losses.
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When people believe a conclusion is true, they are also very likely to believe arguments that appear to support it, even when these arguments are unsound.
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Experienced happiness refers to your feelings, to how happy you are as you live your life. In contrast, the satisfaction of the remembering self refers to your feelings when you think about your life.
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The amount of success it takes for leaders to become overconfident isn't terribly large.
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A general limitation of the human mind is its imperfect ability to reconstruct past states of knowledge, or beliefs that have changed. Once you adopt a new view of the world (or any part of it), you immediately lose much of your ability to recall what you used to believe before your mind changed.
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There's a tendency to look at investments in isolation. Investors focus on the risk of individual securities.
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Each additional day together is a gift. The end of the day means the end of hostilities, the recognition that the underlying shared values and commitment to the relationship trump the need for one last dig or self-righteous justification.
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I enjoy being active, but I look forward to the day when I can retire to the Internet.
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Negotiations over a shrinking pie are especially difficult because they require an allocation of losses. People tend to be much more easygoing when they bargain over an expanding pie.
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The evidence is unequivocal, there's a great deal more luck than skill in people getting very rich.
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The concept of happiness has to be reorganised.
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The dominance of conclusions over arguments is most pronounced where emotions are involved.
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Political columnists and sports pundits are rewarded for being overconfident.
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