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People have little idea, by and large, of the investment world. They are convinced they have an advantage.
Daniel Kahneman
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Daniel Kahneman
Age: 90
Born: 1934
Born: March 5
Economist
Psychologist
University Teacher
Tel Aviv
Israel
D Kahneman
Littles
Ideas
Little
Investment
World
Convinced
People
Large
Advantage
Idea
Money
More quotes by Daniel Kahneman
Courage is willingness to take the risk once you know the odds. Optimistic overconfidence means you are taking the risk because you don't know the odds. It's a big difference.
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A general limitation of the human mind is its imperfect ability to reconstruct past states of knowledge, or beliefs that have changed. Once you adopt a new view of the world (or any part of it), you immediately lose much of your ability to recall what you used to believe before your mind changed.
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If you're going to be unreligious, it's likely going to be due to reflecting on it and finding some things that are hard to believe.
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You are more likely to learn something by finding surprises in your own behavior than by hearing surprising facts about people in general.
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Often, the most enjoyable part of an activity is the anticipation.
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The easiest way to increase happiness is to control your use of time.
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If individuals are rational, there is no need to protect them against their own choices.
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You're surprised by something, but you don't really know what surprised you you recognize someone, but you don't really know what cues cause you to recognize that person.
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We have no reason to expect the quality of intuition to improve with the importance of the problem. Perhaps the contrary: high-stake problems are likely to involve powerful emotions and strong impulses to action.
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We can't live in a state of perpetual doubt, so we make up the best story possible and we live as if the story were true.
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Laziness is built deep into our nature.
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We can be blind to the obvious, and we are also blind to our blindness.
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People talk of the new economy and of reinventing themselves in the workplace, and in that sense most of us are less secure.
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The evidence is unequivocal, there's a great deal more luck than skill in people getting very rich.
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The premise of this book is that it is easier to recognize other people's mistakes than your own.
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Experts don't know exactly where the boundaries of their expertise are.
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Survival prospects are poor for an animal that is not suspicious of novelty.
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If you can't take the time for a vacation right now, or even a night out with friends, put something on the calendar - even if it's a month or a year down the road. Then whenever you need a boost of happiness, remind yourself about it.
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My interest in well-being evolved from my interest in decision making - from raising the question of whether people know what they will want in the future and whether the things that people want for themselves will make them happy.
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That's one of the real dangers of leader selection in many organizations: leaders are selected for overconfidence.
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