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You're surprised by something, but you don't really know what surprised you you recognize someone, but you don't really know what cues cause you to recognize that person.

Daniel Kahneman

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Daniel Kahneman
Age: 90
Born: 1934
Born: March 5
Economist
Psychologist
University Teacher
Tel Aviv
Israel
D Kahneman
Cause
Causes
Someone
Persons
Person
Something
Cues
Really
Surprised
Recognize

More quotes by Daniel Kahneman

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The evidence is unequivocal, there's a great deal more luck than skill in people getting very rich.
Daniel Kahneman
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Establish a closing ritual. Know when to stop working. Try to end each work day the same way, too. Straighten up your desk. Back up your computer. Make a list of what you need to do tomorrow.
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If you're going to be unreligious, it's likely going to be due to reflecting on it and finding some things that are hard to believe.
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It is only a slight exaggeration to say that happiness is the experience of spending time with people you love and who love you.
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It's nonsense to say money doesn't buy happiness, but people exaggerate the extent to which more money can buy more happiness.
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Optimism is normal, but some fortunate people are more optimistic than the rest of us. If you are genetically endowed with an optimistic bias, you hardly need to be told that you are a lucky person - you already feel fortunate.
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I used to hold a unitary view, in which I proposed that only experienced happiness matters, and that life satisfaction is a fallible estimate of true happiness.
Daniel Kahneman
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Most things that couples disagree upon aren't worth more than a day's combat.
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There are domains in which expertise is not possible. Stock picking is a good example. And in long-term political strategic forecasting, it's been shown that experts are just not better than a dice-throwing monkey.
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The confidence that individuals have in their beliefs depends mostly on the quality of the story they can tell about what they see, even if they see little.
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When people believe a conclusion is true, they are also very likely to believe arguments that appear to support it, even when these arguments are unsound.
Daniel Kahneman
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It is the consistency of the information that matters for a good story, not its completeness. Indeed, you will often find that knowing little makes it easier to fit everything you know into a coherent pattern.
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True intuitive expertise is learned from prolonged experience with good feedback on mistakes.
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We are very influenced by completely automatic things that we have no control over, and we don't know we're doing it.
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Courage is willingness to take the risk once you know the odds. Optimistic overconfidence means you are taking the risk because you don't know the odds. It's a big difference.
Daniel Kahneman
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Hindsight bias makes surprises vanish.
Daniel Kahneman
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In essence, the optimistic style involves taking credit for successes but little blame for failures.
Daniel Kahneman
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Many people will admit that they made a mistake [putting money in dot-coms or telecoms at their peak] But that doesn’t mean that they’ve changed their mind about anything in particular. It doesn’t mean that they are now able to avoid that mistake.
Daniel Kahneman
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You should not take your intuitions at face value.
Daniel Kahneman
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The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future.
Daniel Kahneman