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The dominance of conclusions over arguments is most pronounced where emotions are involved.
Daniel Kahneman
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Daniel Kahneman
Age: 90
Born: 1934
Born: March 5
Economist
Psychologist
University Teacher
Tel Aviv
Israel
D Kahneman
Dominance
Conclusions
Arguments
Conclusion
Emotions
Argument
Involved
Emotion
Pronounced
More quotes by Daniel Kahneman
Overconfidence is a powerful source of illusions, primarily determined by the quality and coherence of the story that you can construct, not by its validity.
Daniel Kahneman
You are more likely to learn something by finding surprises in your own behavior than by hearing surprising facts about people in general.
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If you can't take the time for a vacation right now, or even a night out with friends, put something on the calendar - even if it's a month or a year down the road. Then whenever you need a boost of happiness, remind yourself about it.
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Acquisition of skills requires a regular environment, an adequate opportunity to practice, and rapid and unequivocal feedback about the correctness of thoughts and actions.
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It doesn't take many observations to think you've spotted a trend, and it's probably not a trend at all.
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I enjoy being active, but I look forward to the day when I can retire to the Internet.
Daniel Kahneman
A general limitation of the human mind is its imperfect ability to reconstruct past states of knowledge, or beliefs that have changed. Once you adopt a new view of the world (or any part of it), you immediately lose much of your ability to recall what you used to believe before your mind changed.
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It was always assumed I would be a professor. I grew up thinking it.
Daniel Kahneman
We can't live in a state of perpetual doubt, so we make up the best story possible and we live as if the story were true.
Daniel Kahneman
Below an income of ... $60,000 a year, people are unhappy, and they get progressively unhappier the poorer they get. Above that, we get an absolutely flat line. ... Money does not buy you experiential happiness, but lack of money certainly buys you misery.
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We're generally overconfident in our opinions and our impressions and judgments.
Daniel Kahneman
Optimism is normal, but some fortunate people are more optimistic than the rest of us. If you are genetically endowed with an optimistic bias, you hardly need to be told that you are a lucky person - you already feel fortunate.
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There are domains in which expertise is not possible. Stock picking is a good example. And in long-term political strategic forecasting, it's been shown that experts are just not better than a dice-throwing monkey.
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It's very easy for trusted companies to mislead naive customers, and life insurance companies are trusted.
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Adaptation seems to be, to a substantial extent, a process of reallocating your attention.
Daniel Kahneman
It is the consistency of the information that matters for a good story, not its completeness. Indeed, you will often find that knowing little makes it easier to fit everything you know into a coherent pattern.
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The brain scientists are the wave of the future in the financial world. If you seek to maximize understanding, whether you're in academia or in the investment community, you'd better pay serious attention to them.
Daniel Kahneman
It is only a slight exaggeration to say that happiness is the experience of spending time with people you love and who love you.
Daniel Kahneman
Except for some effects that I attribute mostly to age, my intuitive thinking is just as prone to overconfidence, extreme predictions, and the planning fallacy as it was before I made a study of these issues.
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An investment said to have an 80% chance of success sounds far more attractive than one with a 20% chance of failure. The mind can't easily recognize that they are the same.
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