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The dominance of conclusions over arguments is most pronounced where emotions are involved.

Daniel Kahneman

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Daniel Kahneman
Age: 90
Born: 1934
Born: March 5
Economist
Psychologist
University Teacher
Tel Aviv
Israel
D Kahneman
Conclusion
Emotions
Argument
Involved
Emotion
Pronounced
Dominance
Conclusions
Arguments

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People who are cognitively busy are also more likely to make selfish choices, use sexist language, and make superficial judgments in social situations.
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There's a very good reason for why economics developed the way it did, and that is that in many situations, the assumption that people will exploit the opportunities available to them is very plausible, and it simplifies the analysis of how markets will behave.
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That's one of the real dangers of leader selection in many organizations: leaders are selected for overconfidence.
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When action is needed, optimism, even of the mildly delusional variety, may be a good thing.
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Courage is willingness to take the risk once you know the odds. Optimistic overconfidence means you are taking the risk because you don't know the odds. It's a big difference.
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An individual who expresses high confidence probably has a good story, which may or may not be true.
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It is the consistency of the information that matters for a good story, not its completeness. Indeed, you will often find that knowing little makes it easier to fit everything you know into a coherent pattern.
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All of us roughly know what memory is. I mean, memory is sort of the storage of the past. It's the storage of our personal experiences. It's a very big deal.
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Managers think of themselves as captains of a ship on a stormy sea. Risk for them is danger, but they are fighting it, very controlled.
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Some memories come with a very compelling sense of truth about them. And that happens to be the case even with memories that are not true.
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Acquisition of skills requires a regular environment, an adequate opportunity to practice, and rapid and unequivocal feedback about the correctness of thoughts and actions.
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Hindsight bias makes surprises vanish.
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The most effortful forms of slow thinking are those that require you to think fast.
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Intelligence is not only the ability to reason it is also the ability to find relevant material in memory and to deploy attention when needed.
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One thing we have lost, that we had in the past, is a sense of progress, that things are getting better. There is a sense of volatility, but not of progress.
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It was always assumed I would be a professor. I grew up thinking it.
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Individual investors predictably flock to stocks in companies that are in the news.
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This is the essence of intuitive heuristics: when faced with a difficult question, we often answer an easier one instead, usually without noticing the substitution.
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People just hate the idea of losing. Any loss, even a small one, is just so terrible to contemplate that they compensate by buying insurance, including totally absurd policies like air travel.
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