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The dominance of conclusions over arguments is most pronounced where emotions are involved.
Daniel Kahneman
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Daniel Kahneman
Age: 90
Born: 1934
Born: March 5
Economist
Psychologist
University Teacher
Tel Aviv
Israel
D Kahneman
Emotions
Argument
Involved
Emotion
Pronounced
Dominance
Conclusions
Arguments
Conclusion
More quotes by Daniel Kahneman
A general limitation of the human mind is its imperfect ability to reconstruct past states of knowledge, or beliefs that have changed. Once you adopt a new view of the world (or any part of it), you immediately lose much of your ability to recall what you used to believe before your mind changed.
Daniel Kahneman
If people can construct a simple and coherent story, they will feel confident regardless of how well grounded it is in reality.
Daniel Kahneman
An investment said to have an 80% chance of success sounds far more attractive than one with a 20% chance of failure. The mind can't easily recognize that they are the same.
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People have little idea, by and large, of the investment world. They are convinced they have an advantage.
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I'm not a great believer in self-help.
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Psychologists really aim to be scientists, white-coat stuff, with elaborate statistics, running experiments.
Daniel Kahneman
Optimism is normal, but some fortunate people are more optimistic than the rest of us. If you are genetically endowed with an optimistic bias, you hardly need to be told that you are a lucky person - you already feel fortunate.
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That's one of the real dangers of leader selection in many organizations: leaders are selected for overconfidence.
Daniel Kahneman
In essence, the optimistic style involves taking credit for successes but little blame for failures.
Daniel Kahneman
It's nonsense to say money doesn't buy happiness, but people exaggerate the extent to which more money can buy more happiness.
Daniel Kahneman
Often, the most enjoyable part of an activity is the anticipation.
Daniel Kahneman
The confidence people have in their beliefs is not a measure of the quality of evidence but of the coherence of the story the mind has managed to construct.
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People are very good [at] thinking about agents. The mind is set really beautifully to think about agents. Agents have traits. Agents have behaviors. We understand agents. We form global impression of their personalities. We are really not very good at remembering sentences where the subject of the sentence is an abstract notion.
Daniel Kahneman
When people believe a conclusion is true, they are also very likely to believe arguments that appear to support it, even when these arguments are unsound.
Daniel Kahneman
We have no reason to expect the quality of intuition to improve with the importance of the problem. Perhaps the contrary: high-stake problems are likely to involve powerful emotions and strong impulses to action.
Daniel Kahneman
People just hate the idea of losing. Any loss, even a small one, is just so terrible to contemplate that they compensate by buying insurance, including totally absurd policies like air travel.
Daniel Kahneman
Policy makers, like most people, normally feel that they already know all the psychology and all the sociology they are likely to need for their decisions. I don't think they are right, but that's the way it is.
Daniel Kahneman
There are domains in which expertise is not possible. Stock picking is a good example. And in long-term political strategic forecasting, it's been shown that experts are just not better than a dice-throwing monkey.
Daniel Kahneman
Odd as it may seem, I am my remembering self, and the experiencing self, who does my living, is like a stranger to me.
Daniel Kahneman
Negotiations over a shrinking pie are especially difficult because they require an allocation of losses. People tend to be much more easygoing when they bargain over an expanding pie.
Daniel Kahneman
