Quote

Acquisition of skills requires a regular environment, an adequate opportunity to practice, and rapid and unequivocal feedback about the correctness of thoughts and actions.

Daniel Kahneman

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Daniel Kahneman
Age: 90
Born: 1934
Born: March 5
Economist
Psychologist
University Teacher
Tel Aviv
Israel
D Kahneman
Actions
Rapid
Skills
Correctness
Thoughts
Rapids
Environment
Acquisition
Practice
Feedback
Opportunity
Adequate
Action
Regular
Requires
Unequivocal

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Courage is willingness to take the risk once you know the odds. Optimistic overconfidence means you are taking the risk because you don't know the odds. It's a big difference.
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In a rising market, enough of your bad ideas will pay off so that you'll never learn that you should have fewer ideas.
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It's nonsense to say money doesn't buy happiness, but people exaggerate the extent to which more money can buy more happiness.
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The planning fallacy is that you make a plan, which is usually a best-case scenario. Then you assume that the outcome will follow your plan, even when you should know better.
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There are some conditions where you have to trust your intuition.
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Some memories come with a very compelling sense of truth about them. And that happens to be the case even with memories that are not true.
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When action is needed, optimism, even of the mildly delusional variety, may be a good thing.
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The effort invested in 'getting it right' should be commensurate with the importance of the decision.
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One thing we have lost, that we had in the past, is a sense of progress, that things are getting better. There is a sense of volatility, but not of progress.
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We're generally overconfident in our opinions and our impressions and judgments.
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So your emotional state really has a lot to do with what you're thinking about and what you're paying attention to.
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Establish a closing ritual. Know when to stop working. Try to end each work day the same way, too. Straighten up your desk. Back up your computer. Make a list of what you need to do tomorrow.
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All of us would be better investors if we just made fewer decisions.
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It was always assumed I would be a professor. I grew up thinking it.
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It is the consistency of the information that matters for a good story, not its completeness. Indeed, you will often find that knowing little makes it easier to fit everything you know into a coherent pattern.
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After a crisis we tell ourselves we understand why it happened and maintain the illusion that the world is understandable. In fact, we should accept the world is incomprehensible much of the time.
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We have no reason to expect the quality of intuition to improve with the importance of the problem. Perhaps the contrary: high-stake problems are likely to involve powerful emotions and strong impulses to action.
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If you can't take the time for a vacation right now, or even a night out with friends, put something on the calendar - even if it's a month or a year down the road. Then whenever you need a boost of happiness, remind yourself about it.
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My interest in well-being evolved from my interest in decision making - from raising the question of whether people know what they will want in the future and whether the things that people want for themselves will make them happy.
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If people can construct a simple and coherent story, they will feel confident regardless of how well grounded it is in reality.
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