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The most effortful forms of slow thinking are those that require you to think fast.
Daniel Kahneman
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Daniel Kahneman
Age: 90
Born: 1934
Born: March 5
Economist
Psychologist
University Teacher
Tel Aviv
Israel
D Kahneman
Form
Think
Thinking
Require
Slow
Forms
Fast
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Experts don't know exactly where the boundaries of their expertise are.
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There's a tendency to look at investments in isolation. Investors focus on the risk of individual securities.
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Most things that couples disagree upon aren't worth more than a day's combat.
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Except for some effects that I attribute mostly to age, my intuitive thinking is just as prone to overconfidence, extreme predictions, and the planning fallacy as it was before I made a study of these issues.
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People talk of the new economy and of reinventing themselves in the workplace, and in that sense most of us are less secure.
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I'm not a great believer in self-help.
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Each additional day together is a gift. The end of the day means the end of hostilities, the recognition that the underlying shared values and commitment to the relationship trump the need for one last dig or self-righteous justification.
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The confidence that individuals have in their beliefs depends mostly on the quality of the story they can tell about what they see, even if they see little.
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The easiest way to increase happiness is to control your use of time.
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It is the consistency of the information that matters for a good story, not its completeness. Indeed, you will often find that knowing little makes it easier to fit everything you know into a coherent pattern.
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That's one of the real dangers of leader selection in many organizations: leaders are selected for overconfidence.
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Optimism is normal, but some fortunate people are more optimistic than the rest of us. If you are genetically endowed with an optimistic bias, you hardly need to be told that you are a lucky person - you already feel fortunate.
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Overconfidence is a powerful source of illusions, primarily determined by the quality and coherence of the story that you can construct, not by its validity.
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When you look at the books about well-being, you see one word - it's happiness. People do not distinguish.
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Through some combination of culture and biology, our minds are intuitively receptive to religion.
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