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You are more likely to learn something by finding surprises in your own behavior than by hearing surprising facts about people in general.
Daniel Kahneman
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Daniel Kahneman
Age: 90
Born: 1934
Born: March 5
Economist
Psychologist
University Teacher
Tel Aviv
Israel
D Kahneman
General
Surprises
Learn
Surprising
Facts
Likely
Something
Findings
People
Finding
Hearing
Surprise
Behavior
More quotes by Daniel Kahneman
Except for some effects that I attribute mostly to age, my intuitive thinking is just as prone to overconfidence, extreme predictions, and the planning fallacy as it was before I made a study of these issues.
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If you're going to be unreligious, it's likely going to be due to reflecting on it and finding some things that are hard to believe.
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You should not take your intuitions at face value.
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Most things that couples disagree upon aren't worth more than a day's combat.
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People just hate the idea of losing. Any loss, even a small one, is just so terrible to contemplate that they compensate by buying insurance, including totally absurd policies like air travel.
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Below an income of ... $60,000 a year, people are unhappy, and they get progressively unhappier the poorer they get. Above that, we get an absolutely flat line. ... Money does not buy you experiential happiness, but lack of money certainly buys you misery.
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In a rising market, enough of your bad ideas will pay off so that you'll never learn that you should have fewer ideas.
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Most successful pundits are selected for being opinionated, because it's interesting, and the penalties for incorrect predictions are negligible. You can make predictions, and a year later people won't remember them.
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Doubting what you see is a very odd experience. And doubting what you remember is a little less odd than doubting what you see. But it's also a pretty odd experience, because some memories come with a very compelling sense of truth about them, and that happens to be the case even for memories that are not true.
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Most people are highly optimistic most of the time.
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A person who has not made peace with his losses is likely to accept gambles that would be unacceptable to him otherwise.
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We can be blind to the obvious, and we are also blind to our blindness.
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There are some conditions where you have to trust your intuition.
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All of us roughly know what memory is. I mean, memory is sort of the storage of the past. It's the storage of our personal experiences. It's a very big deal.
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The most effortful forms of slow thinking are those that require you to think fast.
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There's a tendency to look at investments in isolation. Investors focus on the risk of individual securities.
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It's very easy for trusted companies to mislead naive customers, and life insurance companies are trusted.
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Some memories come with a very compelling sense of truth about them. And that happens to be the case even with memories that are not true.
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Managers think of themselves as captains of a ship on a stormy sea. Risk for them is danger, but they are fighting it, very controlled.
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The concept of loss aversion is certainly the most significant contribution of psychology to behavioral economics.
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