Share
×
Inspirational Quotes
Authors
Professions
Topics
Tags
Quote
The planning fallacy is that you make a plan, which is usually a best-case scenario. Then you assume that the outcome will follow your plan, even when you should know better.
Daniel Kahneman
Share
Change background
T
T
T
Change font
Original
TAGS & TOPICS
Daniel Kahneman
Age: 90
Born: 1934
Born: March 5
Economist
Psychologist
University Teacher
Tel Aviv
Israel
D Kahneman
Cases
Assume
Best
Planning
Better
Assuming
Even
Plan
Scenario
Make
Case
Fallacy
Follow
Scenarios
Usually
Outcome
Plans
Outcomes
More quotes by Daniel Kahneman
It's very easy for trusted companies to mislead naive customers, and life insurance companies are trusted.
Daniel Kahneman
Except for some effects that I attribute mostly to age, my intuitive thinking is just as prone to overconfidence, extreme predictions, and the planning fallacy as it was before I made a study of these issues.
Daniel Kahneman
I enjoy being active, but I look forward to the day when I can retire to the Internet.
Daniel Kahneman
Policy makers, like most people, normally feel that they already know all the psychology and all the sociology they are likely to need for their decisions. I don't think they are right, but that's the way it is.
Daniel Kahneman
People should be conscious of the large contribution made by anything that gets people together easily in the reduction of loneliness and emotional well-being.
Daniel Kahneman
The evidence is unequivocal, there's a great deal more luck than skill in people getting very rich.
Daniel Kahneman
If owning stocks is a long-term project for you, following their changes constantly is a very, very bad idea. It's the worst possible thing you can do, because people are so sensitive to short-term losses. If you count your money every day, you'll be miserable.
Daniel Kahneman
That's one of the real dangers of leader selection in many organizations: leaders are selected for overconfidence.
Daniel Kahneman
There's a very good reason for why economics developed the way it did, and that is that in many situations, the assumption that people will exploit the opportunities available to them is very plausible, and it simplifies the analysis of how markets will behave.
Daniel Kahneman
Most things that couples disagree upon aren't worth more than a day's combat.
Daniel Kahneman
Political columnists and sports pundits are rewarded for being overconfident.
Daniel Kahneman
We associate leadership with decisiveness. That perception of leadership pushes people to make decisions fairly quickly, lest they be seen as dithering and indecisive.
Daniel Kahneman
A person who has not made peace with his losses is likely to accept gambles that would be unacceptable to him otherwise.
Daniel Kahneman
Most people are highly optimistic most of the time.
Daniel Kahneman
Optimistic people play a disproportionate role in shaping our lives. Their decisions make a difference they are inventors, entrepreneurs, political and military leaders - not average people. They got to where they are by seeking challenges and taking risks.
Daniel Kahneman
We can't live in a state of perpetual doubt, so we make up the best story possible and we live as if the story were true.
Daniel Kahneman
The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future.
Daniel Kahneman
If people can construct a simple and coherent story, they will feel confident regardless of how well grounded it is in reality.
Daniel Kahneman
It is the consistency of the information that matters for a good story, not its completeness. Indeed, you will often find that knowing little makes it easier to fit everything you know into a coherent pattern.
Daniel Kahneman
The concept of loss aversion is certainly the most significant contribution of psychology to behavioral economics.
Daniel Kahneman