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Intuitive diagnosis is reliable when people have a lot of relevant feedback. But people are very often willing to make intuitive diagnoses even when they're very likely to be wrong.
Daniel Kahneman
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Daniel Kahneman
Age: 90
Born: 1934
Born: March 5
Economist
Psychologist
University Teacher
Tel Aviv
Israel
D Kahneman
Even
Reliable
Make
Feedback
People
Intuitive
Relevant
Likely
Willing
Wrong
Diagnoses
Often
Diagnosis
More quotes by Daniel Kahneman
Below an income of ... $60,000 a year, people are unhappy, and they get progressively unhappier the poorer they get. Above that, we get an absolutely flat line. ... Money does not buy you experiential happiness, but lack of money certainly buys you misery.
Daniel Kahneman
Friends are sometimes a big help when they share your feelings. In the context of decisions, the friends who will serve you best are those who understand your feelings but are not overly impressed by them.
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What happens with fear is that probability doesn't matter very much. That is, once I have raised the possibility that something terrible can happen to your child, even though the possibility is remote, you may find it very difficult to think of anything else. Emotion becomes dominant.
Daniel Kahneman
Most things that couples disagree upon aren't worth more than a day's combat.
Daniel Kahneman
When you look at the books about well-being, you see one word - it's happiness. People do not distinguish.
Daniel Kahneman
Divorced women, compared to married women, are less satisfied with their lives, which is not surprising. But they're actually more cheerful, when you look at the average mood they're in in the course of the day.
Daniel Kahneman
The concept of loss aversion is certainly the most significant contribution of psychology to behavioral economics.
Daniel Kahneman
Alternative descriptions of the same reality evoke different emotions and different associations.
Daniel Kahneman
In essence, the optimistic style involves taking credit for successes but little blame for failures.
Daniel Kahneman
Slow thinking has the feeling of something you do. It's deliberate.
Daniel Kahneman
I have always emphasized the willingness to discard.
Daniel Kahneman
I would not advise people to buy a car or house without making a list. You will probably improve your intuitions by making a list and then sleeping on it.
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People have little idea, by and large, of the investment world. They are convinced they have an advantage.
Daniel Kahneman
I used to hold a unitary view, in which I proposed that only experienced happiness matters, and that life satisfaction is a fallible estimate of true happiness.
Daniel Kahneman
When everybody in a group is susceptible to similar biases, groups are inferior to individuals, because groups tend to be more extreme than individuals.
Daniel Kahneman
Many people will admit that they made a mistake [putting money in dot-coms or telecoms at their peak] But that doesn’t mean that they’ve changed their mind about anything in particular. It doesn’t mean that they are now able to avoid that mistake.
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We have no reason to expect the quality of intuition to improve with the importance of the problem. Perhaps the contrary: high-stake problems are likely to involve powerful emotions and strong impulses to action.
Daniel Kahneman
There's a very good reason for why economics developed the way it did, and that is that in many situations, the assumption that people will exploit the opportunities available to them is very plausible, and it simplifies the analysis of how markets will behave.
Daniel Kahneman
My interest in well-being evolved from my interest in decision making - from raising the question of whether people know what they will want in the future and whether the things that people want for themselves will make them happy.
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Often, the most enjoyable part of an activity is the anticipation.
Daniel Kahneman