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It's very easy for trusted companies to mislead naive customers, and life insurance companies are trusted.
Daniel Kahneman
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Daniel Kahneman
Age: 90
Born: 1934
Born: March 5
Economist
Psychologist
University Teacher
Tel Aviv
Israel
D Kahneman
Easy
Life
Mislead
Naive
Insurance
Trusted
Companies
Customers
Company
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So your emotional state really has a lot to do with what you're thinking about and what you're paying attention to.
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It doesn't take many observations to think you've spotted a trend, and it's probably not a trend at all.
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The evidence is unequivocal, there's a great deal more luck than skill in people getting very rich.
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A general limitation of the human mind is its imperfect ability to reconstruct past states of knowledge, or beliefs that have changed. Once you adopt a new view of the world (or any part of it), you immediately lose much of your ability to recall what you used to believe before your mind changed.
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It is the consistency of the information that matters for a good story, not its completeness. Indeed, you will often find that knowing little makes it easier to fit everything you know into a coherent pattern.
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Political columnists and sports pundits are rewarded for being overconfident.
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Our memory tells us stories, that is, what we get to keep from our experiences is a story.
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That's one of the real dangers of leader selection in many organizations: leaders are selected for overconfidence.
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The confidence that individuals have in their beliefs depends mostly on the quality of the story they can tell about what they see, even if they see little.
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Divorced women, compared to married women, are less satisfied with their lives, which is not surprising. But they're actually more cheerful, when you look at the average mood they're in in the course of the day.
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A person who has not made peace with his losses is likely to accept gambles that would be unacceptable to him otherwise.
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If people can construct a simple and coherent story, they will feel confident regardless of how well grounded it is in reality.
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It's clear that policymakers and economists are going to be interested in the measurement of well-being primarily as it correlates with health they also want to know whether researchers can validate subjective responses with physiological indices.
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