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It doesn't take many observations to think you've spotted a trend, and it's probably not a trend at all.
Daniel Kahneman
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Daniel Kahneman
Age: 90
Born: 1934
Born: March 5
Economist
Psychologist
University Teacher
Tel Aviv
Israel
D Kahneman
Take
Many
Spotted
Think
Observations
Thinking
Trend
Trends
Observation
Probably
Doesn
More quotes by Daniel Kahneman
Optimistic people play a disproportionate role in shaping our lives. Their decisions make a difference they are inventors, entrepreneurs, political and military leaders - not average people. They got to where they are by seeking challenges and taking risks.
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When people think of the outcomes of their decisions, they think much more short term than that. They think in terms of gains and losses.
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Each additional day together is a gift. The end of the day means the end of hostilities, the recognition that the underlying shared values and commitment to the relationship trump the need for one last dig or self-righteous justification.
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Divorced women, compared to married women, are less satisfied with their lives, which is not surprising. But they're actually more cheerful, when you look at the average mood they're in in the course of the day.
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When you look at the books about well-being, you see one word - it's happiness. People do not distinguish.
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I used to hold a unitary view, in which I proposed that only experienced happiness matters, and that life satisfaction is a fallible estimate of true happiness.
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It is the consistency of the information that matters for a good story, not its completeness. Indeed, you will often find that knowing little makes it easier to fit everything you know into a coherent pattern.
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The confidence people have in their beliefs is not a measure of the quality of evidence but of the coherence of the story the mind has managed to construct.
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The planning fallacy is that you make a plan, which is usually a best-case scenario. Then you assume that the outcome will follow your plan, even when you should know better.
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People have little idea, by and large, of the investment world. They are convinced they have an advantage.
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Except for some effects that I attribute mostly to age, my intuitive thinking is just as prone to overconfidence, extreme predictions, and the planning fallacy as it was before I made a study of these issues.
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When action is needed, optimism, even of the mildly delusional variety, may be a good thing.
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Alternative descriptions of the same reality evoke different emotions and different associations.
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Through some combination of culture and biology, our minds are intuitively receptive to religion.
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People just hate the idea of losing. Any loss, even a small one, is just so terrible to contemplate that they compensate by buying insurance, including totally absurd policies like air travel.
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We can be blind to the obvious, and we are also blind to our blindness.
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I'm not a great believer in self-help.
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It's clear that policymakers and economists are going to be interested in the measurement of well-being primarily as it correlates with health they also want to know whether researchers can validate subjective responses with physiological indices.
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So your emotional state really has a lot to do with what you're thinking about and what you're paying attention to.
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Researchers who studied a thousand Dutch vacationers concluded that by far the greatest amount of happiness extracted from the vacation is derived from the anticipation period.
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