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In a rising market, enough of your bad ideas will pay off so that you'll never learn that you should have fewer ideas.
Daniel Kahneman
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Daniel Kahneman
Age: 90
Born: 1934
Born: March 5
Economist
Psychologist
University Teacher
Tel Aviv
Israel
D Kahneman
Enough
Never
Fewer
Rising
Market
Pay
Learn
Ideas
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Experts don't know exactly where the boundaries of their expertise are.
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I enjoy being active, but I look forward to the day when I can retire to the Internet.
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Except for some effects that I attribute mostly to age, my intuitive thinking is just as prone to overconfidence, extreme predictions, and the planning fallacy as it was before I made a study of these issues.
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Intelligence is not only the ability to reason it is also the ability to find relevant material in memory and to deploy attention when needed.
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Doubting what you see is a very odd experience. And doubting what you remember is a little less odd than doubting what you see. But it's also a pretty odd experience, because some memories come with a very compelling sense of truth about them, and that happens to be the case even for memories that are not true.
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We are very influenced by completely automatic things that we have no control over, and we don't know we're doing it.
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All of us would be better investors if we just made fewer decisions.
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Hindsight bias makes surprises vanish.
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