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In a rising market, enough of your bad ideas will pay off so that you'll never learn that you should have fewer ideas.
Daniel Kahneman
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Daniel Kahneman
Age: 90
Born: 1934
Born: March 5
Economist
Psychologist
University Teacher
Tel Aviv
Israel
D Kahneman
Pay
Learn
Ideas
Enough
Never
Fewer
Rising
Market
More quotes by Daniel Kahneman
My interest in well-being evolved from my interest in decision making - from raising the question of whether people know what they will want in the future and whether the things that people want for themselves will make them happy.
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The planning fallacy is that you make a plan, which is usually a best-case scenario. Then you assume that the outcome will follow your plan, even when you should know better.
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What happens with fear is that probability doesn't matter very much. That is, once I have raised the possibility that something terrible can happen to your child, even though the possibility is remote, you may find it very difficult to think of anything else. Emotion becomes dominant.
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An investment said to have an 80% chance of success sounds far more attractive than one with a 20% chance of failure. The mind can't easily recognize that they are the same.
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People should be conscious of the large contribution made by anything that gets people together easily in the reduction of loneliness and emotional well-being.
Daniel Kahneman
It is only a slight exaggeration to say that happiness is the experience of spending time with people you love and who love you.
Daniel Kahneman
You're surprised by something, but you don't really know what surprised you you recognize someone, but you don't really know what cues cause you to recognize that person.
Daniel Kahneman
Survival prospects are poor for an animal that is not suspicious of novelty.
Daniel Kahneman
People who are cognitively busy are also more likely to make selfish choices, use sexist language, and make superficial judgments in social situations.
Daniel Kahneman
We are very influenced by completely automatic things that we have no control over, and we don't know we're doing it.
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The most effortful forms of slow thinking are those that require you to think fast.
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Managers think of themselves as captains of a ship on a stormy sea. Risk for them is danger, but they are fighting it, very controlled.
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There's a very good reason for why economics developed the way it did, and that is that in many situations, the assumption that people will exploit the opportunities available to them is very plausible, and it simplifies the analysis of how markets will behave.
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We are far too willing to reject the belief that much of what we see in life is random.
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People just hate the idea of losing. Any loss, even a small one, is just so terrible to contemplate that they compensate by buying insurance, including totally absurd policies like air travel.
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The amount of success it takes for leaders to become overconfident isn't terribly large.
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The easiest way to increase happiness is to control your use of time.
Daniel Kahneman
One thing we have lost, that we had in the past, is a sense of progress, that things are getting better. There is a sense of volatility, but not of progress.
Daniel Kahneman
After a crisis we tell ourselves we understand why it happened and maintain the illusion that the world is understandable. In fact, we should accept the world is incomprehensible much of the time.
Daniel Kahneman
Odd as it may seem, I am my remembering self, and the experiencing self, who does my living, is like a stranger to me.
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