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In a rising market, enough of your bad ideas will pay off so that you'll never learn that you should have fewer ideas.
Daniel Kahneman
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Daniel Kahneman
Age: 90
Born: 1934
Born: March 5
Economist
Psychologist
University Teacher
Tel Aviv
Israel
D Kahneman
Enough
Never
Fewer
Rising
Market
Pay
Learn
Ideas
More quotes by Daniel Kahneman
True intuitive expertise is learned from prolonged experience with good feedback on mistakes.
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Through some combination of culture and biology, our minds are intuitively receptive to religion.
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It doesn't take many observations to think you've spotted a trend, and it's probably not a trend at all.
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We associate leadership with decisiveness. That perception of leadership pushes people to make decisions fairly quickly, lest they be seen as dithering and indecisive.
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It is the consistency of the information that matters for a good story, not its completeness. Indeed, you will often find that knowing little makes it easier to fit everything you know into a coherent pattern.
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It is only a slight exaggeration to say that happiness is the experience of spending time with people you love and who love you.
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Survival prospects are poor for an animal that is not suspicious of novelty.
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One thing we have lost, that we had in the past, is a sense of progress, that things are getting better. There is a sense of volatility, but not of progress.
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Groups tend to be more extreme than individuals.
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The amount of success it takes for leaders to become overconfident isn't terribly large.
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Optimism is normal, but some fortunate people are more optimistic than the rest of us. If you are genetically endowed with an optimistic bias, you hardly need to be told that you are a lucky person - you already feel fortunate.
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The most effortful forms of slow thinking are those that require you to think fast.
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A large portion of the weekend effects is explained by differences in the amount of time spent with friends or family between weekends and weekdays.
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... sometimes when you are asked a question that is difficult, the mind doesn't stay silent if it doesn't have the answer. The mind produces something, and what it produces very characteristically is the answer to an easier but related question.
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The planning fallacy is that you make a plan, which is usually a best-case scenario. Then you assume that the outcome will follow your plan, even when you should know better.
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A person who has not made peace with his losses is likely to accept gambles that would be unacceptable to him otherwise.
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Doubting what you see is a very odd experience. And doubting what you remember is a little less odd than doubting what you see. But it's also a pretty odd experience, because some memories come with a very compelling sense of truth about them, and that happens to be the case even for memories that are not true.
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An individual who expresses high confidence probably has a good story, which may or may not be true.
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I used to hold a unitary view, in which I proposed that only experienced happiness matters, and that life satisfaction is a fallible estimate of true happiness.
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An investment said to have an 80% chance of success sounds far more attractive than one with a 20% chance of failure. The mind can't easily recognize that they are the same.
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