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If you're going to be unreligious, it's likely going to be due to reflecting on it and finding some things that are hard to believe.
Daniel Kahneman
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Daniel Kahneman
Age: 90
Born: 1934
Born: March 5
Economist
Psychologist
University Teacher
Tel Aviv
Israel
D Kahneman
Going
Believe
Things
Reflecting
Dues
Likely
Findings
Finding
Hard
More quotes by Daniel Kahneman
We're generally overconfident in our opinions and our impressions and judgments.
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We are very influenced by completely automatic things that we have no control over, and we don't know we're doing it.
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There's a very good reason for why economics developed the way it did, and that is that in many situations, the assumption that people will exploit the opportunities available to them is very plausible, and it simplifies the analysis of how markets will behave.
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The amount of success it takes for leaders to become overconfident isn't terribly large.
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Experts don't know exactly where the boundaries of their expertise are.
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People talk of the new economy and of reinventing themselves in the workplace, and in that sense most of us are less secure.
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The effort invested in 'getting it right' should be commensurate with the importance of the decision.
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Acquisition of skills requires a regular environment, an adequate opportunity to practice, and rapid and unequivocal feedback about the correctness of thoughts and actions.
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When action is needed, optimism, even of the mildly delusional variety, may be a good thing.
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The confidence people have in their beliefs is not a measure of the quality of evidence but of the coherence of the story the mind has managed to construct.
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You're surprised by something, but you don't really know what surprised you you recognize someone, but you don't really know what cues cause you to recognize that person.
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Policy makers, like most people, normally feel that they already know all the psychology and all the sociology they are likely to need for their decisions. I don't think they are right, but that's the way it is.
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Researchers who studied a thousand Dutch vacationers concluded that by far the greatest amount of happiness extracted from the vacation is derived from the anticipation period.
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There are domains in which expertise is not possible. Stock picking is a good example. And in long-term political strategic forecasting, it's been shown that experts are just not better than a dice-throwing monkey.
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People are very good [at] thinking about agents. The mind is set really beautifully to think about agents. Agents have traits. Agents have behaviors. We understand agents. We form global impression of their personalities. We are really not very good at remembering sentences where the subject of the sentence is an abstract notion.
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Experienced happiness refers to your feelings, to how happy you are as you live your life. In contrast, the satisfaction of the remembering self refers to your feelings when you think about your life.
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It's very easy for trusted companies to mislead naive customers, and life insurance companies are trusted.
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We can be blind to the obvious, and we are also blind to our blindness.
Daniel Kahneman
You should not take your intuitions at face value.
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Poverty is clearly one source of emotional suffering, but there are others, like loneliness. A policy to reduce the loneliness of the elderly would certainly reduce suffering.
Daniel Kahneman
