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Hindsight bias makes surprises vanish.
Daniel Kahneman
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Daniel Kahneman
Age: 90
Born: 1934
Born: March 5
Economist
Psychologist
University Teacher
Tel Aviv
Israel
D Kahneman
Bias
Surprise
Makes
Hindsight
Vanish
Surprises
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True intuitive expertise is learned from prolonged experience with good feedback on mistakes.
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Laziness is built deep into our nature.
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A large portion of the weekend effects is explained by differences in the amount of time spent with friends or family between weekends and weekdays.
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By their very nature, heuristic shortcuts will produce biases, and that is true for both humans and artificial intelligence, but the heuristics of AI are not necessarily the human ones.
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The premise of this book is that it is easier to recognize other people's mistakes than your own.
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People who are cognitively busy are also more likely to make selfish choices, use sexist language, and make superficial judgments in social situations.
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You should not take your intuitions at face value.
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Most things that couples disagree upon aren't worth more than a day's combat.
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Employers who violate rules of fairness are punished by reduced productivity, and merchants who follow unfair pricing policies can expect to lose sales.
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We associate leadership with decisiveness. That perception of leadership pushes people to make decisions fairly quickly, lest they be seen as dithering and indecisive.
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When you look at the books about well-being, you see one word - it's happiness. People do not distinguish.
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Odd as it may seem, I am my remembering self, and the experiencing self, who does my living, is like a stranger to me.
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People are really happier with friends than they are with their families or their spouse or their child.
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There are some conditions where you have to trust your intuition.
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Most of the moments of our life - and I calculated, you know, the psychological present is said to be about three seconds long that means that, you know, in a life there are about 600 million of them in a month, there are about 600,000 - most of them don't leave a trace.
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It's clear that policymakers and economists are going to be interested in the measurement of well-being primarily as it correlates with health they also want to know whether researchers can validate subjective responses with physiological indices.
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The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future.
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A general limitation of the human mind is its imperfect ability to reconstruct past states of knowledge, or beliefs that have changed. Once you adopt a new view of the world (or any part of it), you immediately lose much of your ability to recall what you used to believe before your mind changed.
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If you can't take the time for a vacation right now, or even a night out with friends, put something on the calendar - even if it's a month or a year down the road. Then whenever you need a boost of happiness, remind yourself about it.
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Alternative descriptions of the same reality evoke different emotions and different associations.
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