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The usefulness of the models in constructing a testable theory of the process is severely limited by the quickly increasing number of parameters which must be estimated in order to compare the predictions of the models with empirical results.

Anatol Rapoport

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Anatol Rapoport
Age: 95 †
Born: 1911
Born: May 22
Died: 2007
Died: January 20
Mathematician
Psychologist
University Teacher
Lozovaya
Numbers
Predictions
Results
Increasing
Testable
Process
Limited
Constructing
Order
Compare
Estimated
Must
Quickly
Severely
Models
Empirical
Number
Parameters
Theory
Usefulness

More quotes by Anatol Rapoport

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The military forces of the revolutionary adversary are diffuse. One is never sure whether one has destroyed them unless one is ready to destroy a large portion of the population, and this usually conflicts with the political aim of the war and hence also violates a fundamental Clausewitzian principle.
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Cooperate on move one thereafter, do whatever the other player did the previous move.
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The flow of information through human communication channels is enormous. So far no theory exists, to our knowledge, which attributes any sort of unambiguous measure to this flow.
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(Game theory is) essentially a structural theory. It uncovers the logical structure of a great variety of conflict situations and describes this structure in mathematical terms. Sometimes the logical structure of a conflict situation admits rational decisions sometimes it does not.
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A thorough understanding of game theory, should dim these greedy hopes. Knowledge of game theory does not make one a better card player, businessman or military strategist.
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One cannot play chess if one becomes aware of the pieces as living souls and of the fact that the Whites and the Blacks have more in common with each other than with the players. Suddenly one loses all interest in who will be champion.
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The moral development of a civilization is measured by the breadth of its sense of community.
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The outcome of a non-constant-sum game may be dictated by the individual rationality of the respective players without satisfying a criterion of collective rationality.
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The outstanding feature of behavior is that it is often quite easy to recognize but extremely difficult or impossible to describe with precision.
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On the question of whether a behavioral science can in principle be constructed, we shall take no sides. That some kinds of human behavior can be described and even predicted in terms of objectively verifiable and quantifiable data seems to us to have been established.
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The transition from the concept of information in the technical (communication engineering) sense to the semantic (theory of meaning) sense was indeed difficult, if not impossible.
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Do you know that all great spurts in...progress came just after some unorthodox ideas or exotic impressions had penetrated into a closed system?
Anatol Rapoport
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A theorem is a proposition which is a strict logical consequence of certain definitions and other propositions.
Anatol Rapoport
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It is one thing to say that the dwelling has symbolic and cosmological aspects... and another to say that it has been erected for ritual purposes and is neither shelter nor dwelling but a temple.
Anatol Rapoport
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It is the shortcomings of game theory (as originally formulated) which force the consideration of the role of ethics, of the dynamics of social structure, and of social structure and of individual psychology in situations of conflict.
Anatol Rapoport
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Although the drama of games of strategy is strongly linked with the psychological aspects of the conflict, game theory is not concerned with these aspects. Game theory, so to speak, plays the board. It is concerned only with the logical aspects of strategy.
Anatol Rapoport
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To gain knowledge, we must learn to ask the right questions and to get answers, we must act, not wait for answers to occur to us.
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It is misleading in a crucial way to view information as something that can be poured into an empty vessel, like a fluid or even energy.
Anatol Rapoport
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In the US. Infantry Manual published during World War II, the soldier was told what to do if a live grenade fell into the trench where he and others were sitting: to wrap himself around the grenade so as to at least save the others. (If no one volunteered, all would be killed, and there were only a few seconds to decide who would be the hero.)
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Whether sociology can ever become a full-fledged science (a description of a class of events predictable on the basis of deductions from a constant rationale) depends on whether the terms which sociologists employ to describe events can be analyzed into quantifiable observables.
Anatol Rapoport