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Excessive optimism sows the seeds of its own reversal.
Alan Greenspan
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Alan Greenspan
Age: 98
Born: 1926
Born: March 6
Banker
Economist
Entrepreneur
Jazz Musician
Politician
New York City
New York
Reversal
Excessive
Optimism
Seeds
Sows
More quotes by Alan Greenspan
How do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values?
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I don't know where the stock market is going, but I will say this, that if it continues higher, this will do more to stimulate the economy than anything we've been talking about today or anything anybody else was talking about.
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By far the most significant event in finance during the past decade has been the extraordinary development and expansion of financial derivatives.
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I've been in and out of Wall Street since 1949, and I've never seen the type of animosity between government and Wall Street. And I'm not sure where it comes from, but I suspect it's got to do with a general schism in this society which is really becoming ever more destructive.
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I've always argued that this country has benefited immensely from the fact that we draw people from all over the world.
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Corruption, embezzlement, fraud, these are all characteristics which exist everywhere. It is regrettably the way human nature functions, whether we like it or not. What successful economies do is keep it to a minimum. No one has ever eliminated any of that stuff.
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If I say something which you understand fully in this regard, I probably made a mistake.
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These days, even out of office, I still read economic reports.
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In the absence of the gold standard, there is no way to protect savings from confiscation through inflation. There is no safe store of value.
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While local economies may experience significant price imbalances, a national severe price distortion seems most unlikely in the United States, given its size and diversity.
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As long as we issue fiat currency, I see no alternative to a legal tender law.
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American consumers might benefit if lenders provided greater mortgage product alternatives to the traditional fixed-rate mortgage.
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Remember what we're looking at. Gold is a currency. It is still, by all evidence, a premier currency, that no fiat currency, including the dollar, can match.
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The tub helps me relax, and it's a great place to read.
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We cannot rule out a situation in which a preemptive policy tightening becomes necessary, ... Such caution seems especially warranted with regard to the sharp rise in equity prices during the past two years. These gains have obviously raised questions of sustainability.
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Any onset of increased investor caution elevates risk premiums and, as a consequence, lowers asset values and promotes the liquidation of the debt that supported higher asset prices, ... This is the reason that history has not dealt kindly with the aftermath of protracted periods of low risk premiums.
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Well, you probably will always believe there should be laws against fraud, and I don't think there is any need for a law against fraud.
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If all currencies are moving up or down together, the question is: relative to what? Gold is the canary in the coal mine. It signals problems with respect to currency markets. Central banks should pay attention to it.
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History has not dealt kindly with the aftermath of protracted periods of low risk premiums.
Alan Greenspan